Overall, the technical setup appears weak, but with the monthly August expiry approaching, any positive trigger could spark a strong short-covering rally in the Nifty 50, said Centrum’s Nilesh Jain.
In the next few quarters one can expect a busy primary and secondary equity market, provided broader sentiment holds firm, said Jaspreet Arora of Equentis Wealth.
Even if the US Federal Reserve begins easing following very weak non-farm payroll data, the RBI may need to remain cautious for some time. This is due to uncertainty around tariffs and volatile capital flows, which could put pressure on the Indian Rupee, said Nimesh Chandan of Bajaj Finserv AMC.
Despite the near-term uncertainties, India remains one of the fastest growing economies in the world, and the ongoing structural reforms will go a long way towards wealth creation for investors through Indian equities, Unmesh Kulkarni said.
Given technical confirmations, Nifty Auto is well-positioned to continue its outperformance in the short term, barring any major market-wide disruptions, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
A 10% market upmove by year-end is possible but not a base case without help from global rates and a benign outcome on tariffs, said Nikunj Saraf of Choice Wealth.
Overall, the Nifty 50 remain in the broad trading range with strong under-currents and will eventually move past the crucial resistance zone of 25,000-25,150 in the coming days, says Milan Vaishnav of Gemstone Equity.
According to Pramod Gubbi of Marcellus, the auto sector should be an obvious beneficiary and there will likely be demand pick up at the margin as lower GST will likely lower cost of ownership of vehicles.
Varun Lohchab of HDFC Securities believes that market valuations are currently fair and expects the Nifty to rise by approximately 10% from current levels.
Given the current rich valuations, DSP MF’s Vinit Sambre believes markets have already priced in much of the positive news.
Consumer services like hotel and travel, consumer discretionary and NBFCs could do well if consume demand picks up, says Rohit Sarin of Client Associates.
The combination of GST rationalisation, a restructured tax regime, and the recent rate cuts can give demand a strong push. But more importantly, it sets the direction for the economy, said Anuj Jain of Green Portfolio PMS.
The positive trend is expected to continue, as technical and momentum indicators signaled a bullish bias. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
India’s fundamentals remain steady. Stronger corporate balance sheets, fiscal stability, and RBI’s liquidity support should aid a recovery, with earnings growth back in double digits over the next couple of years, said Chandraprakash Padiyar of Tata MF.
Pawan Bharaddia of Equitree Capital advised holding capital goods and travel-related stocks in the portfolio, considering the expected growth in both sectors.
Current options data and the Put-Call Ratio (PCR) suggest that the market is likely to remain in a short-term consolidation phase, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
Anil Rego expects Nifty to consolidate in 23,500-25,000 range before breaking out post-festive season, driven by domestic consumption recovery and potential policy clarity.
FII futures positioning still shows a heavy concentration of shorts around. Until this data turns more constructive or prices start to form a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, the Nifty 50 is likely to remain anchored near the lower end of the Bollinger Bands, Rahul Sharma of JM Financial said.
Looking at the valuations currently, the power utility stocks are fully valued, said Ajit Banerjee of Shriram Life Insurance.
Ongoing tariff uncertainties and a slowdown in earnings growth are likely to keep the Nifty index in a sideways correction phase for the next six months, said Narnolia’s Shailendra Kumar.
It is quite likely that a year from now the tariffs should be much lower, said Vikas Gupta of OmniScience Capital.
L&T Energy Greentech plans to invest nearly Rs 80,000 crore to build its mega green hydrogen and green ammonia plants at Kandla and Paradip ports. It will soon tap the export market, starting with the Middle East, for its Made-In-India electrolysers, CEO Derek M Shah told Moneycontrol.
Short term indicators are showing positive divergence suggesting lack of downside momentum but positive price action awaited in the Nifty 50, said Ashish Kyal of Waves Strategy Advisors.
R Venkataraman of IIFL Capital feels that deceleration in earnings growth will be a continuing trend at least for the second quarter of FY26 before things show signs of troughing out.
While the longer term prospects of the domestic facing economy are well supported, it would be prudent to be prepared for some volatility in the near term, after Trump tariffs, said Sandeep Bagla of TRUST Mutual Fund.