The chart structure of Nifty 50 is indicating sideways to bearish momentum for the next couple of weeks.
Given the outlook on earnings, it is probable that the Nifty will spend more time between 23,000 to 26,000 levels, said Sheetal Malpani.
Having said that, while US GDP growth looks relatively more sanguine, India arguably needs a slight nudge to shore up slowing down consumption – largest engine of the GDP wagon, Rajesh Cheruvu said.
Time to be selective, as CY25 is expected to be a stock-picker’s market with significant divergence in median and index returns, said Nitin Bhasin.
Among other sectors, Nimesh Chandan is positive on online platform businesses, power infra & real estate sector.
While Tata Motors remains in a continuing downtrend, it has shown initial signs of a potential bottom formation, said Milan Vaishnav.
CY2025 appears to be evenly poised for the equity market, with domestic flows acting as a tailwind and valuations presenting a headwind, said Krishna Sanghavi.
With Trump 2.0 starting from January, a cut in the corporate tax rate is expected, giving US corporations with more money for discretionary IT projects. That would benefit the IT sector in India, said Ajit Banerjee.
On absolute valuations, private sector financials are perhaps the only sector attractively valued, said Pramod Gubbi.
Harshad Patil of TATA AIA Life Insurance expects some mean reversion in 2025 with relatively lower market returns as compared to previous years.
Bank Nifty is likely to achieve 100% Fibonacci retracement level of its recent upward rally. The banking benchmark index Bank Nifty has strongly underperformed frontline indices as it has tumbled by 5.27 percent. This was the steepest decline since February 2022, said Sudeep Shah.
Jimeet Modi of SAMCO Group advises deploying 50% of funds in largecap stocks, 25% in Gold and 25% in debt, in order to diversify portfolio in 2025
The BFSI sector offers attractive valuations, with private banks trading below their long-term P/B average, PSU banks above, and NBFCs near the mean, said Himanshu Kohli of Client Associates.
The trend of rising disposable income, premiumization, and shift from unorganised to organised is expected to drive the overall demand for consumer discretionary sector, said Anil Rego.
Mandal believes that the trajectory of Indian equities will hinge more on the earnings performance of India Inc than on global risks, such as the strengthening dollar.
While global risks persist, valuations have become more attractive, making IT a compelling buy for long-term investors, said Robin Arya.
Garg believes that even though US inflation is currently under control, the Fed Chair's comments on being data dependent implies that they cannot afford to let it spiral out of control.
FMCG companies have been facing challenges with weak growth recently. While rural markets continue to grow at a modest pace, the slowdown is more pronounced in urban markets, said Srinivas Rao Ravuri.
Shailendra Kumar anticipates low double-digit market returns for 2025. However, he expects these returns to materialise towards the end of the year as valuations at the beginning of the year are not favourable.
An increase in government capex in the upcoming Budget is likely, as it aligns with the government’s goal of stimulating economic growth and creating jobs, said Anirudh Garg.
Sudeep Shah believes the Nifty IT is likely to give strong bullish momentum in CY 2025. In July 2024, the index has given a stage-2 Cup pattern breakout on a monthly scale. As per the measure rule of Cup pattern, the upside target is placed at 52,700 level, which is likely to test in the coming calendar year.
The primary concerns for markets for 2025 include geopolitical tensions impacting global supply chains, policy uncertainty, slow earnings growth due to elevated interest rates, persistent inflationary pressures, says Sonam Srivastava.
Ashwini Shami strongly believes that Indian economy is on a multi-year high-growth trajectory, supported by strong infrastructure-building initiatives, growth investments and favourable geo-strategic developments.
In 2024, both the Sensex and Nifty posted strong returns of around 13%, a remarkable performance. However, Vijay Bharadia believes replicating or exceeding this in 2025 will be challenging.
Indian markets are likely to face significant influence from a combination of domestic and global economic events, in 2025, said Ankit Mandholia.