Motilal Oswal's research report on Kotak Mahindra Bank
Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) reported a standalone 4QFY25 PAT of ~INR35.5b (6% miss on MOFSLe), because of higher provisions (to shore up PCR, partly due to AIF provisions of INR560m). Consol. PAT stood at INR49b (5% QoQ growth and 8% YoY decline) in 4QFY25. NII grew 5.4% YoY to INR72.8b (largely in line). NIM expanded 4bp QoQ to 4.97% (MOFSLe: 4.92%). Advances growth was modest at 13.5% YoY/3.2% QoQ to ~INR4.27t, while deposits rose 11.2% YoY/5.4% QoQ. CASA mix improved 70bp QoQ to 43%. Fresh slippages declined 10.2% QoQ to INR14.9b (INR16.6b in 3QFY25 and INR18.7b in 2QFY25). GNPA ratio thus declined by 8bp QoQ to 1.42%, while NNPA declined 10bp QoQ to 0.31%. PCR increased 492bp QoQ to 78.1%.
Outlook
We estimate KMB to deliver an FY27E RoA/RoE of 2.1%/13.3%. Reiterate BUY with a TP of INR2,500 (premised on 2.5xFY27E, SoTP of INR770).
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