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Oil sinks towards $56 as China, Greece and Iran weigh

These concerns compounded downward pressure on prices from the supply side as the prospect of a deal on Iran's nuclear work raised the possibility of more supply reaching a market many analysts see as already having too much oil.

July 08, 2015 / 16:54 IST

Oil fell towards USD 56 a barrel on Wednesday, trading close to a three-month low, as China's accelerating stock market plunge and the Greek debt crisis raised the possibility of weaker economic growth that could hit oil demand.

These concerns compounded downward pressure on prices from the supply side as the prospect of a deal on Iran's nuclear work raised the possibility of more supply reaching a market many analysts see as already having too much oil.

Brent crude fell 66 cents to USD 56.19 a barrel by 0843 GMT, having traded as low as USD 55.10, the weakest level since April 6, on Tuesday. US crude was down 57 cents at USD 51.76.

"The three main drivers pushing prices down are the steep fall in equities in China, with the implications that has for oil demand; the possibility of a nuclear agreement with Iran and the Greece crisis," said Christopher Bellew, senior broker at Jefferies Bache.

Chinese stocks plunged on Wednesday after the country's securities regulator warned investors were in the grip of "panic sentiment" and the market showed signs of freezing up as firms had their shares suspended. China is the world's second-largest oil consumer.

In the Greek debt crisis, euro zone members have given Athens until the end of the week to come up with a proposal for sweeping reforms in return for loans that will keep the country from crashing out of the single currency.

"Turmoil in China and Greece may put recent robust demand growth at risk," Morgan Stanley analysts said in a report.

"Investors have justifiable concerns about the outlook for both supply and demand going forward given current events."

In Vienna, Iran and six world powers gave themselves at least until Friday to negotiate an agreement on the Iranian nuclear programme.

A deal could lead to an increase in Iran's oil exports, which would add to output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries already at a three-year high without cutbacks by other OPEC members.

The confluence of bearish factors outweighed expectations that the latest weekly US inventory data will show a drop in US crude inventories. The American Petroleum Institute's supply report on Tuesday showed a 958,000-barrel decline, ahead of Wednesday's official data.

first published: Jul 8, 2015 03:15 pm

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