BUSINESS
Is a supercycle coming in oil markets?
OPEC+’s cut of 2 mbpd from November 2022 means oil output will fall by approximately 1.45 percent from May 2023 after the latest output cut comes in force. This insignificant quantum is unlikely to trigger a big raging bull market, forget about a supercycle
BUSINESS
Adapting day trading in derivatives to a higher STT regime
It’s not just trading profits but a host of factors such as bid/ask spreads, impact costs and turnaround time which could get affected temporarily by the increase in securities transaction tax rates
BUSINESS
Market uncertainty brings opportunities in adversity
With the rising cost of funds, falling energy prices, rising bullion prices, nervous financial markets and buoyant ‘alternate asset’ markets, what is the way ahead for investors?
BUSINESS
Why a bank default in Silicon Valley matters
The ripple effects of the Silicon Valley Bank episode may be felt as far as India, due to the interconnected world of flows and investor sentiment
BUSINESS
Capital Controls: China’s loss can be India’s gain
Restrictions on repatriation of funds is among the worst fears of foreign investors. China’s move in this direction, unless reversed, could see funds flow increase to other Asian markets such as India
BUSINESS
Stock traders should watch out for the 'Ides of March'
Equity investors are currently exhibiting nervousness. Yield inversion signals, rising rates and budget changes giving fixed income a boost could worsen matters
BUSINESS
Not as straight as it looks: Why price targets fail
A rally always starts losing steam after the initial spurt. It is best, therefore, for traders to use log charts that put things in perspective
BUSINESS
How to stay a step ahead of market crowd? Get basics of index trading right
A vast majority of traders choose to trade indices for solid reasons. Indices are less volatile as compared to individual stocks, index futures require lower span margins compared to stock futures
BUSINESS
Who makes more money: Bulls or bears?
A short seller has to be precise in entry and exit. He is like an anaconda. He hibernates till he finds a prey and moves in for the kill at the right time
BUSINESS
Budget 2023 provides a great opportunity for investors
As governments worldwide step up borrowings, investors will demand, and get, higher coupon rates. Don’t be surprised if bond yields rise during the course of the coming financial year
BUSINESS
Retail traders up against not just big daddies of trade, but machines too
The SEBI report has made it clear that only the top 1% of traders make significant profits, while the vast majority lose money
BUSINESS
Why the ECB will continue to raise rates
The ECB and even India’s central bank will have to ensure that their interest rates react to the US Fed’s rate hike moves, to prevent an outflow of capital
BUSINESS
Budget 2023: The market’s wish list
Here’s a list of what market participants want from the Finance Minister for FY2024
BUSINESS
The age of pro-cyclical de-leveraging
With easy money a thing of the past, it is very likely that the markets will see de-leveraging
BUSINESS
Does a strong dollar really boost technology stocks?
Windfall currency gains no longer translate into higher earnings for exporters, thanks to renegotiation clauses
BUSINESS
Why markets may rally in January
A pre-election budget rally is par for the course in democracies
BUSINESS
Trading in a new era requires a flexible mindset
There’s a rebalancing act that will play out in markets, among sectors but also among two important asset classes
BUSINESS
Buckle up, interest rates are going to be higher for longer
The era of cheap money is pausing and may even end, in a worst case scenario. What is certain is that investors need to rewrite their playbook to win in this new world
BUSINESS
Silver – A dark horse
Mention bullion and most people conjure up visions of the shiny yellow metal – gold. Few people include silver in the bullion asset category. Yet silver is now hogging the limelight, demanding investors’ attention
BUSINESS
Making sense of OPEC’s decision
OPEC nations are aware of the looming recession in the global economy and are wary of reducing production further
BUSINESS
Are higher gas prices here to stay?
The fact that backwardation has kicked in a month earlier tells you that gas prices are unlikely to break record highs
BUSINESS
How gold may gain from the crypto crash
The turmoil in the crypto universe may see funds flow out to safer havens such as gold, that also yield similar advantages to its holders
BUSINESS
Why markets may rally further
A stronger rupee is likely to trigger foreign inflows into Indian markets while easing imported inflation
BUSINESS
The US dollar may cheer emerging markets
The US dollar index (DXY) has halted in its tracks and is unable to rally as forcefully as was the case in the last few months







