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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Economic Survey says all is well. So where’s the need for a fiscal stimulus?

BUSINESS

Economic Survey says all is well. So where’s the need for a fiscal stimulus?

The Economic Survey is upbeat on consumption and investment rising. It has projected FY2022-23 GDP growth at 8-8.5 percent 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Budget must build confidence

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | The Budget must build confidence

The government has already shown the way by opting for bold reforms during the pandemic

IMF says financial conditions remain accommodative in most economies

BUSINESS

IMF says financial conditions remain accommodative in most economies

The IMF’s World Economic Outlook Update enumerates several risks for emerging markets as a consequence of tightening by the US Fed 

How to popularise the Budget while earning trillions in revenues

BUSINESS

How to popularise the Budget while earning trillions in revenues

 If the finance minister introduces this wonderful scheme, she will reserve her place in history as the most innovative finance minister ever 

US Fed Decision | What if Jay Powell is wrong again?

BUSINESS

US Fed Decision | What if Jay Powell is wrong again?

The crucial question is whether growth is really as strong as the US Fed believes it is 

What has the central government been spending on?

BUSINESS

What has the central government been spending on?

Almost half the central government’s expenditure has been on relatively inflexible items such as interest payments, defence, police and transfers to states, expenditure, leaving little available for development 

Markets stumble as PMI advance estimates show slowing growth, high inflation

BUSINESS

Markets stumble as PMI advance estimates show slowing growth, high inflation

Slowing growth and high inflation are the worst case scenario, because, if it persists, the US Fed will be caught in a cleft stick, being forced to tighten at a time when growth is decelerating. That is the market’s worst nightmare

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Bubble Trouble 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Bubble Trouble 

The US is in the grip of “three and a half bubbles”, according to GMO’s chief investment strategist Grantham

Oxfam, Inequality, Capitalism, and the Stock Market

BUSINESS

Oxfam, Inequality, Capitalism, and the Stock Market

Deng Xiaoping had said, ‘We should let some people and some regions get rich first’, adding, ‘for the purpose of achieving common prosperity faster’

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Testing times 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Testing times 

This is going to be a year when all these theories on ‘transitory’ inflation, monetary policy tightening, durability of growth and soft landing for markets will be tested 

Has pandemic increased inequality in India? NBER paper says no 

BUSINESS

Has pandemic increased inequality in India? NBER paper says no 

The NBER paper flies in the face of conventional wisdom that talks of a K-shaped recovery

World Bank predicts global slowdown, but India one of the exceptions

BUSINESS

World Bank predicts global slowdown, but India one of the exceptions

As governments withdraw fiscal and monetary support and as pent-up demand wanes, global economic growth will slow in 2022 and 2023, but not for India 

Rise in headline retail inflation no cause for worry, but core inflation a problem

BUSINESS

Rise in headline retail inflation no cause for worry, but core inflation a problem

The general CPI index fell by 0.36 percent in December from the preceding month

Budget Chart of the Day: Fiscal Fragility

BUSINESS

Budget Chart of the Day: Fiscal Fragility

India’s fiscal position is much worse than most countries in the region

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Advance GDP data show a K-shaped recovery

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Advance GDP data show a K-shaped recovery

The biggest takeaway from the advance estimates is the weakness in private consumption. For the second half of FY22, the growth in private consumption is expected to be a mere 1.8%

Central government spending will be a tailwind for the economy in Q4 FY22

BUSINESS

Central government spending will be a tailwind for the economy in Q4 FY22

The concern, though, is that bond yields are rising, which is why the fiscal stance in the forthcoming Union Budget is likely to be conservative

What demand for work under MGNREGA tells us about consumption demand

BUSINESS

What demand for work under MGNREGA tells us about consumption demand

Demand for work under the scheme is still much higher than pre-pandemic levels, indicating a lack of job opportunities elsewhere

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | After last year’s binge, welcome to the hangover

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | After last year’s binge, welcome to the hangover

Instead of liquidity driving higher valuations, it's corporate earnings that will be in the driver’s seat

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | 2022 is here, but keep your fingers crossed!

TRENDS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | 2022 is here, but keep your fingers crossed!

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Top investment themes in 2022, the Weekly Tactical, myths in retirement planning, the Herd Immunity Tracker and more

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Fault lines are running deep for markets

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Fault lines are running deep for markets

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: Mahanagar Gas catches the eye, crypto’s future, Startup Street, demystifying Crypto Charts, the battery overhang for EVs and more

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Through a glass, groggily

MARKETS

Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Through a glass, groggily

In today’s edition of Moneycontrol Pro Panorama: chief economist at IndusInd Bank offers his analysis for the year ahead, our independent research team picks up a defensive stock -- Bharat Dynamics -- and much more.

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | ’Tis the season to be wary 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | ’Tis the season to be wary 

It isn’t just Omicron that is responsible for the wild swings in the market

Monetary Policy Committee minutes show concerns over growth

BUSINESS

Monetary Policy Committee minutes show concerns over growth

A key takeaway from the MPC minutes: There is a divergence in global and Indian growth prospects, but there is a limit to decoupling 

Union Budget 2022: The difficult choices facing Nirmala Sitharaman 

BUSINESS

Union Budget 2022: The difficult choices facing Nirmala Sitharaman 

The Union Budget for 2022-23 is being framed against an international backdrop very different from that of the last decade or so. For the first time in many years, central banks in the developed economies are being forced to tighten monetary policy

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