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Manas Chakravarty

Group Consulting Editor

Moneycontrol

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | War sirens are blowing, but Street pumped up on growth

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | War sirens are blowing, but Street pumped up on growth

As defiant leaders in the geopolitical ferment dig in their heels, what’s the way forward for investors?

Why the US stock market is less volatile during wars

BUSINESS

Why the US stock market is less volatile during wars

An NBER research paper explains the puzzle of wars leading to lower market volatility by relating it to higher defence spending

Chart of the Day | How many Fed rate hikes is the market pricing in? 

BUSINESS

Chart of the Day | How many Fed rate hikes is the market pricing in? 

The CME Fedwatch tool shows that there’s a 74.7 percent probability that the Fed Funds target rate will be 2.25-2.5 percent or higher by the end of the calendar year 

Book Review: Total Economic War and its Consequences

BUSINESS

Book Review: Total Economic War and its Consequences

Mulder’s masterly account of economic sanctions during the first half of the 20th century has many lessons for us 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Why did equity markets rally this week?

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Why did equity markets rally this week?

It’s not all gloom and doom. And guess what, the Street found many reasons to put its best foot forward

Ukraine effect | Too early for contrarian buy call, says Bank of America survey 

BUSINESS

Ukraine effect | Too early for contrarian buy call, says Bank of America survey 

Equity allocations are down but have not dropped to capitulation levels normally seen in a recession 

RBI faces dilemma as inflation breaches upper limit in February 

BUSINESS

RBI faces dilemma as inflation breaches upper limit in February 

Month-on-month retail inflation in February went up for the first time in three months 

How long can China keep up its People’s War strategy against COVID-19?

BUSINESS

How long can China keep up its People’s War strategy against COVID-19?

China has adopted a unique mass mobilisation strategy to combat the pandemic, calling it a ‘People’s War’. But the economic costs of its zero-covid policy are rising 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Return of the Very Old Normal 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Return of the Very Old Normal 

The world is becoming multi polar, but it has a catch: This time, the spectre of a nuclear conflict looks very real

What US Intelligence thinks of the threats from Russia and China

POLITICS

What US Intelligence thinks of the threats from Russia and China

The Intelligence report says the world has become multipolar and warns of the growing spectre of great power conflict 

The yawning gap between Putin’s Great Power ambitions and Russian economy's decline

BUSINESS

The yawning gap between Putin’s Great Power ambitions and Russian economy's decline

The threat posed by Russia to the West is military, not economic. But even in weapons, they are a shadow of the threat the USSR used to be 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Economic warfare

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Economic warfare

The US launching a no holds barred economic attack on Russia has quite a few lessons for others      

Q3 GDP data mark a weak recovery, Ukraine war casts a shadow

BUSINESS

Q3 GDP data mark a weak recovery, Ukraine war casts a shadow

If crude oil prices continue to remain elevated, we are likely to see a toxic mix of lower growth and higher inflation

Could Ukraine be Putin’s Afghanistan?

POLITICS

Could Ukraine be Putin’s Afghanistan?

The US and the West have cleverly used Ukraine as a pawn to trap Russia 

How the Great Powers stack up militarily

BUSINESS

How the Great Powers stack up militarily

As Russia invades Ukraine, how much do the Great Powers spend on their military? The accompanying charts tell the story  

What advance PMIs for February say about growth, inflation, supply crunch

BUSINESS

What advance PMIs for February say about growth, inflation, supply crunch

The message from the flash PMI numbers is a simple one—in regions where the latest covid wave is ebbing, there has been a rebound in growth, accompanied by higher inflation 

Ukraine and the challenge to US hegemony

WORLD

Ukraine and the challenge to US hegemony

As the sociologist Giovanni Arrighi pointed out, “in all transitions, wars were essential ingredients in the change of guard at the commanding heights of world capitalism”

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Doves today, hawks tomorrow? 

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Doves today, hawks tomorrow? 

The big question: Is the loss of face for the US Fed a wake-up call for the RBI?

Has the Chinese challenge peaked?

BUSINESS

Has the Chinese challenge peaked?

An IMF report says total factor productivity in the Chinese economy has seen a dramatic decline after the Global Financial Crisis 

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | A compliment from Mr Chidambaram

BUSINESS

Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | A compliment from Mr Chidambaram

Former FM may have dubbed this year’s Budget as ‘the most capitalist ever’, but statistics suggest otherwise

Budget 2022: Has the government changed its spending priorities?

BUSINESS

Budget 2022: Has the government changed its spending priorities?

As a percentage of total expenditure in the Budget, the allocations to the Ministry of Health and the HRD ministry have both gone down. Instead, the share of spending on infrastructure has gone up

Is the government making the same mistake the UPA did after the global financial crisis?

BUSINESS

Is the government making the same mistake the UPA did after the global financial crisis?

The fiscal deficit budgeted for 2022-23 is comparable to that prevailing after the global financial crisis. The boost to the economy then led to a temporary growth spurt, but it soon ended in tears. Will we see a repeat this time too? 

Conservative budget that needs to be commended for resisting populism before elections

BUSINESS

Conservative budget that needs to be commended for resisting populism before elections

Unlike past exercises, this year’s budget is conservative on many counts, including growth estimates and expenditure projections. The government has also resisted the temptation, again marking a departure, to launch populist measures to coax voters

Budget 2022 | What people did not say about the Budget

BUSINESS

Budget 2022 | What people did not say about the Budget

What people allegedly had on their minds about the Union Budget, but wouldn’t dream of saying out loud

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