US election: Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in every swing state, shows latest poll

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump (AP)

In a big boost to former US President Donald Trump, a latest survey released just before the November 5 Presidential elections shows that he is leading over Democratic rival Kamala Harris in every swing state.

According to a survey of US voters by AtlasIntel, Trump (49%) is leading Harris (47.2%) across the country as America heads into one of its most polarised and tightly contested presidential polls.

Live updates: US Presidential elections

The survey reveals that Trump is ahead of Harris in the seven swing states of North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Swing states, or toss-up states, are those that can vote for either candidate in the presidential polls. Unlike solidly partisan states, where one party consistently holds dominance, swing states are highly competitive and can shift the outcome of the election depending on which way they lean.

US election result date

The survey reveals that Trump has the highest advantage in Arizona, where 52.3% of the voters said that they will vote for the former US president while only 45.8% said they will pick Harris.

AtlasIntel projects former President Trump leading Vice President Harris in all other swing states, including Nevada (51.2% to 46%), North Carolina (50.5% to 47.1%), and Georgia (50.1% to 47.6%). Michigan (49.7% to 48.2%) and Pennsylvania (49.6% to 47.8%).

Wisconsin has indicated the closest fight, where Trump (49.7%) leads Harris (48.6%) by just over one percentage point.

Several of the swing states are within the poll’s two point margin of error.

If the predictions hold true, then Trump will have a strong chance of returning to the White House, just four years after he lost to Joe Biden.

Several opinion polls predict that the electoral battle between Harris and Trump appears to have gone to the wire.

Harris, 60, is the nominee of the Democratic Party and Trump, 78, is the Republican nominee. Their party members and support bases are united with their respective parties, and independent votes might decide who would be the next occupant of the White House.

To win the elections, a candidates needs 270 of the electoral college votes.

Opinion polls indicate that the elections will be decided by the results in seven battle ground states of Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia.

The Real Clear Politics, which tracks all the major national and battleground polls, said it's a tie between Trump and Harris. In the national polls, Trump leads by 0.1 percentage points, and in battleground states the former president has an edge of 0.9 percentage points.

Final set of polls by The New York Times and Siena College show Harris gaining new strength in North Carolina and Georgia even as Trump erases her lead in Pennsylvania and maintains his advantage in Arizona, the daily reported Sunday.

In its final poll, the NBC News said the poll shows Harris getting support from 49 per cent of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 49 per cent. "Just two percent of voters say they're unsure about the choice," the news channel said.

(With inputs from agencies)