Export-linked sectors, textiles, seafood and IT have endured sharp corrections after the United States imposed fifty percent tariffs. But with fresh policy support, relaxed repayment rules and signs of a softer US stance, analysts say investors may finally have room to re-enter these beaten-down stocks.
Textile stocks: The possibility of further trade talks between India and US, which may result in a trade deal between the two countries, boosted investor sentiment for the export-oriented textile stocks.
The export-oriented textile stocks are rising as analysts increasingly expect trade talks between India and US to resume, amid cooling tensions between the two countries.
Textile stocks: Brendan Lynch, a key US trade negotiator, will be arriving today in India to discuss 'trade issues' between Washington and New Delhi.
India’s move to scrap 11% import duty on raw cotton till September 30 has provided short-term relief for textile players, but analysts warn the benefit could be fleeting as Indian exports face a steep 50% US tariff starting August 27.
Donald Trump’s double-barrel tariff move sent shockwaves through Indian markets, hammering sectors with high US exposure such as textiles, seafood, and auto components
Textile makers Trident, Gokaldas Exports, Arvind, KPR Mill and Welspun Living lost 0.7%-3% on August 7
Textile manufacturers such as Welspun Living, Indo Count, Vardhman Textiles, Gokaldas Exports, Pearl Global and KPR Mills lost between 3% and 9% after Trump's tariff and penalty threat
Defence stocks remained in focus amid continued investor interest, while textile stocks saw profit-booking and banking stocks came under pressure after sharp declines in HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank ADRs
India's apparel exports to the UK—currently at $1.5 billion—could see a significant boost, with an incremental $1 billion opportunity opening up over time.
Bangladesh's Beximco Group is reportedly looking to sell 32 firms involved in garments manufacturing. This has fueled speculation that major international fashion brands may divert their orders to India.
The government's decision to waive import duty specifically applies to extra-long staple (ELS) variety cotton, which includes premium types like US Pima and Egyptian Giza
Analysts believe that the UK-India FTA deal, the Atraco acquisition and the China+one theme will stitch a promising growth story for Gokaldas Exports in the long run
There is a hope of recovery for the sector with trade volumes likely to improve in the second half of FY24 as global retailers order their summer and spring 2024 collections, some analysts said.
Textile players expect demand to pick up again by the third quarter of FY24 as global retailers reduce their inventories.
The reduced purchasing power in key export markets, like the US, due to recession is expected to weigh on the order book of Indian exporters, and could in turn hamper the near-term earnings for the textile companies
Following the recent market rally, a number of shares have seen a sharp upmove, with some inching close to their 52-week highs.
Yesterday, the market did not have a choppy trade session, but today, the situation looks worrisome, indicated Sudarshan Sukhani of Technical Trends. If 5,200 levels breaks and the Nifty finds support even lower, there is a buying opportunity. If the market rallies, then an intraday short sell is possible, he added.
Textile stocks may further see 8-10% downside, says Rahul Mohindar, viratechindia.com.