Improvements in earnings emerging out of better earnings from banks will trigger Sensex to hit 29,000 level by December, said Indranil Sengupta, Co-head of India Research, BofAML.
There are strong fundamental reasons for RBI to cut key interest rates, believes Indranil Sengupta, Chief Economist, India, BoFA ML.
Indranil Sengupta of Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects subsidies to continue to come off to 1.5 percent of GDP in FY17 from 1.7 percent earlier on account of falling oil.
Indranil Sengupta, India Chief Economist, Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, says the rupee could appreciate to 65 levels versus the dollar by March 2016.
HSBC'S chief India economist Pranjul Bhandari also says upfront spending by the government might lose steam in the latter part of the year
The Reserve Bank is likely to cut benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percent in its next month's policy review if monsoon rains remain normal, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Monday.
A CNBC-TV18 poll pegs May IIP at 4.4 percent, higher than 4.1 percent seen in the preceding month. But two eminent economists —Jahangir Aziz of JP Morgan and Indranil Sengupta of BoFA-ML remain cautiously optimistic of IIP result in May.
"We now expect RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan to cut policy rate 25 bps on August 4 if rains remain normal," Indranil Sengupta, chief economist India at BofA-ML, said in a research note.
According to Indranil Sengupta, chief economist India at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, the Reserve Bank will try and defend rupee at 65/ dollar mark. He believes RBI will not want to give the impression that the rupee is a depreciating currency.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects inflation to dip in near-term but may surge by year-end.
Indranil Sengupta said the RBI will not engage in a rate cut exercise at the first instance of a cooling off in inflation. It wants to make sure the inflation is truly coming off so that once the rate cut cycle begins, it can be maintained. The US brokerage expects a cut of 75 basis points over the full fiscal year.
Indranil Sengupta believes there are risks to 4.1% fiscal deficit target for FY15 as tax revenue projections look ambitious. But he does not think the government's borrowing programme is at risk.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Indranil Sengupta, chief economist –India, Bank of America Merill Lynch, says inflation in India has peaked and it will come down meaningfully in the second half of 2014.
Indranil Sengupta, chief economist, BofA ML, in an interview to CNBC-TV18 says he expects the Reserve Bank of India to hike repo rates by 25 basis points (bps) in its December policy, following which the Governor is likely to hold rates.
Indranil Sengupta, chief economist at BofA ML does not see remission in inflation between now and the next policy meet.
Indranil Sengupta of Bank of America Merrill Lynch feels the rupee market has begun to look ahead at tapering of the RBI's swaps with oil companies. "We continue to expect the rupee to stabilize at 60-65/USD if the euro-dollar trades in a 1.20-1.30 range. Not surprisingly, the rupee remains among the weakest of the BRIC currencies," he adds.
Indranil Sengupta of BofA ML expects the rupee to end around 63/USD levels by December-end.
Indranil Sengupta, Chief Economist India, BofA ML is hopeful that CPI inflation may subside to 8.5 percent level going ahead.
Indranil Sengupta, Chief India Economist of BofA ML sees FY14 growth around 4.6 percent. According to him, cutting lending rates is a key to revive growth.
We welcome RBI's decision to conduct open market operations worth Rs 100 billion on October 7, says Indranil Sengupta, BofA ML.
We expect the July 15 tightening measures to be rolled back in December if the FCNRB deposit-cum-swap scheme nets USD 10 billion by November 30, says Indranil Sengupta, BofA ML.
In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Indranil Sengupta, Chief Economist-India, Bank of America Merrill Lynch spoke about rupee and the GDP number
Due to squeeze in liquidity high lending rates will eat away benefits of monsoon. Therefore, GDP growth will depend a lot upon when the monetary policy is dismantled, says Indranil Sengupta, Chief Economist India, BofA ML.
Bank of America-Merrill Lynch (BofA ML) has lowered its India gross domestic product (GDP) estimate for FY14 to 5.5 percent versus a 5.8 percent earlier, after the central bank announced a slew of measures to curb rupee liquidity.
In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Indranil Sengupta, Chief Economist - India, BofA ML spoke about trade deficit number, rupee, CPI. He said that he sees CPI at 9.3 percent and Index of Industrial Production (IIP) at 0.5 percent.