Motilal Oswal's research report on Bharat Forge
BHFC’s 1QFY24 standalone performance beats estimates, led by betterthan-expected volumes at 67.8k tons (vs. est. 64.3k tons) and realizations of INR313.9k/ton (vs. est. INR311.2k/ton). The company has guided toward positive demand outlook across divisions. Additionally, defence business contributed INR2.5b in 1Q and is expected to be ~10% of revenue mix in FY24, driven by order backlog of INR22-23b to be executed over the next 18 months. We have changed our EPS est by -4%/+4.5% for FY24E/25E to factor in for slower-than-expected rampup in US facility and execution of defence orders in the coming quarters.
Outlook
We reiterate our BUY rating on the stock with a TP of INR1,135 (based on 25x Sep-25E consolidated EPS + INR101 for 2 gun platforms).
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