Currently, the Nifty 50 is trading above both its short- and long-term moving averages, with these averages beginning to slope upward — often an early indication of renewed directional strength, said Sudeep Shah.
If earnings stabilise and domestic liquidity stays healthy, 2026 still has room to surprise on the upside for the market, said Nikhil Khandelwal.
Dinshaw Irani of Helios India does not like but loves the quick commerce space as this segment, given the under penetration, is expected to see exponential growth in the near future.
The big wildcard for 2026 is whether the war in Europe can end, delivering a major peace dividend for markets, said Stefan Hofer.
With inflation below the lower end of the RBI’s target range, another rate cut in 2026 cannot be ruled out, said Ashwini Shami.
The trade deal with US has been anticipated by the markets for some time now since the additional tariffs in August 2025, said Karthikraj Lakshmanan.
Aman Chowhan feels it is unlikely that rupee will further weaken on its own against the dollar in 2026.
A key positive trigger for the Indian market is the expected improvement in earnings, supported by the fact that valuations for the Nifty 50 and several large-cap stocks are now at reasonable levels, said Shailendra Kumar.
IndiGo's MACD has dipped below both the signal line and the zero line, accompanied by rising red histogram bars, reinforcing the negative setup, said Sudeep Shah.
While Iow inflation opens up quite a bit of space for rate cuts, the extremely bullish growth numbers do not leave much room for soft policy, said Thomas
If there is an US-India trade deal, the hardening of rupee will be quite severe which can negatively impact IT services most, said Abhishek Banerjee.
Key challenge for Indian equity market is global economic conditions and geo-political crisis, said Akhil Bhardwaj.
The most significant tailwind for 2026 is simply the mean reversion from the recent under-performance and under-ownership, said Prabhakar Kudva.
Once uncertainty around the India–US trade deal clears, market attention is likely to shift toward broader macro and domestic drivers, said George Heber Joseph.
Expansion of transmission infra, expansion of PM Surya Ghar and green hydrogen scale-up are among the steps the government will take to meet its clean-energy targets, the new and renewable energy minister tells Moneycontrol
The trade deal is anticipated to attract back foreign portfolio investors, who have been cautious due to tariff tensions and trade uncertainties, said Vipul Bhowar.
While the Nifty is yet to decisively breach its all-time high, unlike the Bank Nifty, both the price structure and candlestick formations suggest it could do so soon, said Rahul Ghose.
While a 25-bps cut remains possible, it’s unlikely to be the dominant driver for long-term yields, which are more sensitive to fiscal dynamics and next year’s budget, said Nimesh Chandan.
For the banking sector, Sneha Jain expects H1 2026 to reflect improved margins, healthier treasury performance, and more stable balance-sheet dynamics.
The Nifty IT index is trading comfortably above its 200-day EMA, reinforcing the ongoing strength in its structure, said Sudeep Shah.
Srinivas Rao Ravuri remains positive on Indian equities, with a preference for large caps. Valuations are at a modest premium to long-term averages, which is sustainable in an earnings-upcycle, he said.
The challenges for the market are on the global side in 2026. A slowdown in US growth after a long AI driven tech cycle, volatile foreign flows and stretched pockets in small and thematic names can create air pockets, Sonam Srivastava said.
Tailwinds for India in 2026 could be the India-US trade deal and several other bilateral trade deals with other trading blocks or countries, said Vikas Gupta.
When energy realignment, tariff posture, and diplomatic signalling all shift in the same direction, they often foreshadow a breakthrough before it becomes publicly visible. Under those conditions, the emergence of a India-US trade deal within a short window would be a natural extension of the trajectory already in motion, said Anil Rego.
GST rationalisation and increased credit borrowing in the upcoming festive season is going to boost the growth in NBFCs, said Divam Sharma.