Bears are likely to hold the fort, with the previous week's low at major risk amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
The spiking VIX, along with bearish technical and momentum indicators, has now put 24,300 — the previous week’s low — at major risk. In fact, experts feel the index is likely to break this support, and if that comes true and sustains below it, a correction towards 24,000-23,800 cannot be ruled out in the upcoming session.
Considering the current chart structure and overall market setup, Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities continues to recommend a sell on rally approach.
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The weekly options data also suggested that 24,000, where the maximum Put open interest is placed, is expected to be a key support in the short term, while 25,000, which has the maximum Call open interest, is likely to be a crucial hurdle on the higher side. This means the index may possibly trade in the 24,000–25,000 range next week.
Unless the Nifty 50 convincingly reclaims and sustains above the 200 DEMA (25,230), consolidation with range-bound trading may continue, with immediate support at 24,500, followed by 24,300 as a crucial support level.
The bears maintained the upper hand, given that the index is trading well below the 200-day EMA, the India VIX remains elevated (though it cooled), and bearish momentum persists.
Bears maintain strong control over the market despite the relief rally; hence, any upside bounce is unlikely to sustain amid the Iran–Israel conflict and elevated oil prices. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Experts said that follow-through buying and a decisive move above 25,200 are necessary for the bulls to gain enough strength. Until then, the market may witness consolidation, with 24,600–24,500 acting as support.
According to experts, a rebound is possible after the sharp three-day fall, but sustainability will be key, given that bears remain in a strong position.
Bears are likely to maintain the upper hand, though there is a possibility of a bounce-back. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
If the Nifty 50 breaks and sustains well below 24,300 zone, a fall towards 24,050–24,000 cannot be ruled out. However, 24,600 is expected to act as the immediate key resistance, experts said.
Weekly options data suggest that the Nifty 50 is likely to trade in a broad range between 24,000 (where the maximum Put open interest is placed) and 25,000 (which has the maximum Call open interest) in the short term.
The market is likely to reel under bear pressure given the weakening momentum and technical indicators amid the Iran war. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
After sinking 1.25 percent each in the past two sessions, experts expect the bears to increase pressure on Nifty and target the 24,300–24,000 zone in the upcoming sessions, though there is a possibility of some recovery later. On the contrary, 25,000 may remain a crucial resistance level
Given the complete dominance of bears, driven by subdued momentum, weak technical indicators, and a sell-off across global markets, the previous day's low (24,603) and the August low (24,338) are expected to be at major risk in the upcoming session. Below these levels, bears may target 24,000, experts said.
In a range market, the cleanest trades happen near the edges. Sell near the upper extreme. Buy near the lower extreme.
In the current environment, Ashish Kyal advised clients to remain cautious and avoid aggressive participation in derivatives, given the event-driven volatility.
Weekly options data suggested that the Nifty 50 is likely to trade in the 24,500–25,000 range in the short term, as a breakout from this range could provide firm directional cues on either side.
Sudeep Shah recommends deploying a bear spread strategy by buying 25,150 Put and Selling 25,000 Put, as Nifty is likely to retest the 25,000–24,950 zone in the near term.
Experts expect a gap-down market opening on March 2, with the Nifty 50 likely breaking the psychological 25,000 zone, followed by a move toward the 24,850 support (the long upward-sloping support trendline).
The market is expected to face a bear attack given the prevailing bearish momentum and rising US-Iran tensions. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
The momentum indicators maintained a sell signal, and the bears received a further boost from intensified US-Iran tensions, both of which hint at a sharp gap-down opening for the market on March 2.
The weekly options data suggest that 25,000, where the maximum Put open interest is placed, is expected to act as key short-term support, while resistance is seen at 25,400–25,500, which holds the maximum Call open interest.
The Nifty 50 has been taking support at 25,400 on a closing basis since last week; hence, falling decisively below it can take the index down toward 25,250 (200-day EMA) in upcoming sessions. However, the 25,600–25,650 zone is acting as a hurdle, which needs to be convincingly surpassed for a move toward 25,900–26,000.