Angel Commodities' report on Soybean
NCDEX Soybean Oct futures closed little higher on Wednesday on technical rebound after trading lower in last two trading sessions. However, there is restricted upside due to pressure by the arrival of new season soybean. As per Agmarknet data, soybean arrivals during the first 25 days is pegged at 2.28 lakh tonnes compared to 1.99 lakh tonnes in August for the same period. As per the agri ministry data, India's soybean acreage was at 10.6 million ha as on last week, down 7.7 % from a year ago. The fall in overall acreage has been led by a decline in area under the crop in Madhya Pradesh -- the largest producer -- because of poor rains in the state so far this monsoon season. U.S. soybean futures closed higher on Wednesday on technical buying and higher export demand for U.S. soybeans. The U.S. Department of Agriculture through its daily reporting system said private exporters sold 132,000 tonnes of U.S. soybeans to China for delivery in the 2017/18 marketing year that began Sept. 1. The USDA is expected to show 1.8 - 2.2 mt in Thursday’s Export Sales report that will be 6.2 mt for 2017/18 versus 3.6 mt last.
Outlook
Soybean futures are expected to trade on sideways on reports of new season arrivals coupled with improved physical demand from oil mill. Lower acreage in the country and improved prices of edible oil may support prices. Mustard seed futures expected to trade sideways to higher due to rebound in physical demand form the oil mills. It is expected that there will be good demand for crushing in the winter. However, higher carryover stocks can keep the prices under pressure.
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