Emkay Global Financial's research report on State Bank of India
Notwithstanding the slower growth and sharp margin contraction, SBI continued to deliver a strong PAT beat, at Rs168bn (Emkay: Rs149bn)/1.2% RoA in 1Q, on robust treasury gains, lower overheads and LLP. Though NIM contraction for SBI in 1Q was relatively higher (27bps QoQ to 3.3%) vs private peers (12-20bps), we believe most banks on cumulative basis would in near term will exhibit similar margin contraction. Bank guides for 13-14% growth in FY24E led by Retail which, along with better LDR/consumption of on-balancesheet liquidity, should help sustain FY24E margin at 3.4-3.5% (reported). Despite the lower CET 1 at 10.2%, Bank believes that it can fund current growth via internal accruals. Factoring-in the 1Q beat, we raise our earnings by 2-3% for FY24-26E and expect the bank to deliver a healthy 1-1.1% RoA/17-19% RoE without any capital raise.
Outlook
We retain BUY on the stock with TP of Rs700/share, valuing the standalone bank at 1.2x Jun-25E ABV and subs/investments at Rs185/share.
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