Motilal Oswal's research report on Mahanagar Gas
Over the last eight months, MAHGL’s share price has corrected ~30%, with the stock now trading at 11x FY27E P/E. Weakness in the stock price was driven by 1) pressure on margins amid higher raw material costs coupled with multiple APM de-allocations and 2) lack of clarity on future APM allocation. However, we now believe fundamentals are undergoing a transformative shift.
Outlook
MAHGL remains our preferred pick among CGDs. We retain our estimates as we model MAHGL’s volumes to clock a 10% CAGR over FY25-27 and estimate an EBITDA margin of INR10/scm during the period. MAHGL currently trades at 11x FY27E SA P/E. Reiterate BUY with a TP of INR1,760.
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