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Buy CG Consumer; target of Rs 268: HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities is bullish on Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 268 in its research report dated October 27, 2017.

November 03, 2017 / 16:21 IST
     
     
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    HDFC Securities' research report on Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals

    Crompton’s  net  revenue grew 9.8% to Rs 9.6bn. Like-to-like revenue growth was  at 15.9%, and our expectation was 9.3%. Adj. EBITDA (Ex-ESOP) and APAT was up 33% and 39%, respectively. Restocking  was  partial  during  2Q,  as  recovery  was  slow for seasonal products.  However,  even in this challenging phase, Crompton gained market share  in  Fans  and  LED  lamps  (B2C). Fans gained a sharp 3 to 4% market share,  primarily  in  the  premium segment. Premium Fans contribute 18% to Crompton’s Fans business.   Management’s focus area remains the same, i.e. (1) Cost rationalisation (2) Premiumisation,  and  (3)  Competitive  pricing.  Our  structural thesis is unchanged. Crompton is arguably India’s strongest ‘mass premium’ brand in the Consumer Electricals space. We continue to like Crompton owing to (1) Premiumisation in  Fans,  (2)  Healthy growth in the LED business, (3) Brand leveraging in appliances  (4)  Focus  on  efficient  distribution (ROI model), and (5) an asset-light business model.

    Outlook
    Given the healthy earnings growth (21% EPS CAGR over FY17-20E), asset-light business  model and FCF generation of Rs 5-6bn in FY19-20E, high valuations are  justified.  We  reiterate BUY with a TP of Rs 268, based on 35x Sep-19 EPS.

    For all recommendations report, click here

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    first published: Nov 3, 2017 04:21 pm

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