ICICI Securities research report on Century Plyboards
Century Plyboards (CPBI) reported YoY flat consolidated revenue growth in Q1FY24. Plywood / laminates / MDF revenues grew 3.1% / (-4.7)% / 7.2% YoY with volumes being flat / flat / +5.9% YoY (4-year CAGR of 8.8% / 6.9% / 3.9%), respectively. Consolidated EBITDA margin fell 116bps YoY (-202bps QoQ) to 14.9%, primarily due to lower profitability in laminate and MDF segments, resulting in EBITDA / APAT decline of 7.0% / 5.8% YoY. Plywood margin expanded 280bps YoY (due to low base), while laminates margin fell 350bps YoY (higher A&P) and MDF margin contracted 950bps YoY (due to higher RM costs). Management has guided for operating margins of 14% / 13-15% / 25% in plywood / laminates / MDF for FY24. It stated that demand was subdued in Q1, but expects it to pick up H2FY24 onward as the housing market remains healthy. It has cut its volume guidance for FY24 to 6-7% / 15% / 20% YoY (vs earlier guidance of 13% / 25% / 30%) in plywood / laminates / MDF respectively.
Outlook
We cut our PAT estimates by ~4% each year for FY24E-FY25E and maintain BUY with a rolled-over Sep’24E target price of INR740 (earlier: INR732).
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