Moneycontrol PRO
HomeNewsBusinessMarketsMajor Nifty falls and recoveries; it took over 1,000 days to recover from the 2008 lows

Major Nifty falls and recoveries; it took over 1,000 days to recover from the 2008 lows

Since 2006, there have been 18 instances of steep market corrections where the Nifty corrected in excess of 10 percent.

April 17, 2020 / 10:05 IST

In 2020 so far, stock markets globally have witnessed sharp correction as traders have sold in panic on fears of the novel coronavirus, or COVID-19, pandemic.

In India, the Nifty tumbled as much as 38 percent on March 23 from its high of 12,363 touched on January 14. Of late, it has recovered 18 percent from the bottom.

But that wasn't the only steep fall on the Nifty. Since 2006, there have been 18 instances of steep market corrections where the Nifty corrected in excess of 10 percent.

The recovery-to-correction ratio (in days) tracks the speed of market recovery. The average stands at 3.7 times for all 18 instances. It reduces to 2.6 times whenever it took less than six months to regain the peak.

Nifty-Steep-fall-and-recoveries-for-web

COVID-19 Vaccine

Frequently Asked Questions

View more
How does a vaccine work?

A vaccine works by mimicking a natural infection. A vaccine not only induces immune response to protect people from any future COVID-19 infection, but also helps quickly build herd immunity to put an end to the pandemic. Herd immunity occurs when a sufficient percentage of a population becomes immune to a disease, making the spread of disease from person to person unlikely. The good news is that SARS-CoV-2 virus has been fairly stable, which increases the viability of a vaccine.

How many types of vaccines are there?

There are broadly four types of vaccine — one, a vaccine based on the whole virus (this could be either inactivated, or an attenuated [weakened] virus vaccine); two, a non-replicating viral vector vaccine that uses a benign virus as vector that carries the antigen of SARS-CoV; three, nucleic-acid vaccines that have genetic material like DNA and RNA of antigens like spike protein given to a person, helping human cells decode genetic material and produce the vaccine; and four, protein subunit vaccine wherein the recombinant proteins of SARS-COV-2 along with an adjuvant (booster) is given as a vaccine.

What does it take to develop a vaccine of this kind?

Vaccine development is a long, complex process. Unlike drugs that are given to people with a diseased, vaccines are given to healthy people and also vulnerable sections such as children, pregnant women and the elderly. So rigorous tests are compulsory. History says that the fastest time it took to develop a vaccine is five years, but it usually takes double or sometimes triple that time.

View more
Show

However, the quantum of the COVID-19 market correction has only two parallels since 2006. In the 2008 global financial crisis, the Nifty corrected by 60 percent and the recovery-to-correction ratio was 3.5 times. In 2006, it witnessed a 30 percent correction, with the recovery-to-correction ratio at 4.9 times.

Key reasons for the market orrections as stated in the Elara Capital report:

In 2008, markets fell 60 percent: Great financial crisis triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers

In 2006, markets fell 30 percent: The rise in US inflation and yield; a resurgence of inflation and a series of monetary tightening measures by central banks across the world, including a surprise increase in the policy rate by the Reserve Bank.

In 2010, markets fell 17 percent: This period saw high domestic inflation and the narrative turning negative due to lack of reforms by the UPA 2 government

In 2016, markets fell 16 percent: Fear of China slowdown amid earnings downgrade and oil at record lows.

 

Moneycontrol News
first published: Apr 16, 2020 06:03 pm

Discover the latest Business News, Sensex, and Nifty updates. Obtain Personal Finance insights, tax queries, and expert opinions on Moneycontrol or download the Moneycontrol App to stay updated!

Subscribe to Tech Newsletters

  • On Saturdays

    Find the best of Al News in one place, specially curated for you every weekend.

  • Daily-Weekdays

    Stay on top of the latest tech trends and biggest startup news.

Advisory Alert: It has come to our attention that certain individuals are representing themselves as affiliates of Moneycontrol and soliciting funds on the false promise of assured returns on their investments. We wish to reiterate that Moneycontrol does not solicit funds from investors and neither does it promise any assured returns. In case you are approached by anyone making such claims, please write to us at grievanceofficer@nw18.com or call on 02268882347