Bears remained in charge at Dalal Street on Monday as well. The Sensex fell more than 500 points in opening trade, taking total two-day losses to more than 1,300 points, but it showed some recovery from that opening lows.
Bharat Iyer of JP Morgan, personally, feels Nifty could be bottomed out at 10,000-10,300 levels and the next month could be challenging for India as well as globe.
It meant the market can fall further from here on, though the intermittent recovery could be possible as Iyer feels the current fall is definitely a buying opportunity for investors who missed the bus earlier.
Broader markets have been hitting hard but that does not mean the end of bull market, he said, adding we are getting into matured phase of bull market.
Valuations definitely picked up in last six months on easy monetary policy and pick up in economic growth, but earnings will have to do tough jobs to prove valuations, Iyer said.
On earnings, in an interview to CNBC-TV18, Bharat Iyer said earnings picture is still frothy. The research house expects 14-15 percent growth in second half of FY18 against earlier 25-30 percent growth, so the financial year 2017-18 growth could be around 8-10 percent.
Globally, he said, earnings and economic growth are picking up. The research house expects US Federal Reserve to do four rate hikes but market priced in only 2, he said.
As he said it is definitely a buying opportunity and we are in bull market correction, he advises taking exposure to financials with solid growth, cement, tractor, construction equipment etc.
He feels urban consumption theme has long way to perform and there is a little bit of cognisance of cost of capital which has been rising.
He is neutral on rural focussed themes like two-wheeler space. If they deliver 8-10 percent volume growth then that could be good, he said. "Don't chase these stocks at these levels."
On Budget 2018 front, he said most countries in the world do have long term capital gains tax of 15-20 percent and in comparison to that, India is still better at 10 percent.
He feels domestic liquidity may be partially disturbed in near term due to change in taxation and rising bond yields; but he expects SIP and provident fund flow to continue going ahead.
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