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Gaurav Kapur

Chief Economist

IndusInd Bank

Gaurav Kapur is the chief economist of IndusInd Bank.

The key numbers behind the Budget

BUSINESS

The key numbers behind the Budget

The most important numbers investors should look for in the Budget and how they affect the economy

Forex stock places India in a better position to deal with the worst recession since 1930s

BUSINESS

Forex stock places India in a better position to deal with the worst recession since 1930s

With a significant part of the country’s debt due for repayment in the current fiscal year, there is enhanced refinancing risk, considering the global financial market backdrop and COVID-19. Sizeable foreign exchange reserves place India in a better position to deal with this risk

Comprehensive policy response is needed to ease the economic fallout of COVID-19 outbreak

BUSINESS

Comprehensive policy response is needed to ease the economic fallout of COVID-19 outbreak

Under a worst case scenario, GDP growth in FY21 could fall to 3.5 percent

Budget 2020 may set off a virtuous growth cycle

ECONOMY

Budget 2020 may set off a virtuous growth cycle

The Budget proposals should aim at supporting private investments and government’s own capex spend -- both through on- and off-budget financing

Stars are aligning. Expect a gradual economic revival in 2020

ECONOMY

Stars are aligning. Expect a gradual economic revival in 2020

As for India, recovery efforts will have to focus on fiscal measures to support consumption and investment

In Detail | Global clouds are thickening around India’s own challenges

ECONOMY

In Detail | Global clouds are thickening around India’s own challenges

Countering domestic private demand slowdown and a weak sentiment is crucial. Otherwise, even a modest economic recovery could take longer

New liquidity framework talks of many ideas

ECONOMY

New liquidity framework talks of many ideas

The working group proposes surplus conditions and development of long-term repos

Budget maintains continuity with its long-term policy focus on investment-led growth

BUSINESS

Budget maintains continuity with its long-term policy focus on investment-led growth

The Budget addresses some of the issues holding back growth, without loosening the fiscal purse strings

Budget 2019 must take aim at long-term growth, not just cyclical recovery

BUSINESS

Budget 2019 must take aim at long-term growth, not just cyclical recovery

The case for fiscal stimulus is well presented. But that’s not all. For India to become a $5 trillion economy by 2024, doubling down on fiscal reforms cannot be overstated

Monetary Policy | Third consecutive rate cut to support growth

ECONOMY

Monetary Policy | Third consecutive rate cut to support growth

Given the trajectory of growth and inflation, there still is room for another 25 bps cut over the next two meetings.

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