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The paradox of financial conditions

BUSINESS

The paradox of financial conditions

A gap has emerged between the US central bank and its peers at a time when its policy signals have become at odds with financial conditions

China’s recovery might be a bit less than meets the eye

BUSINESS

China’s recovery might be a bit less than meets the eye

Investors should not assume this upturn in economic growth will be just like previous ones

Share buybacks: welcome payments in a suspect currency

BUSINESS

Share buybacks: welcome payments in a suspect currency

Investors usually see bumper buybacks as supporting stock prices. But they may not be the bullish signal they appear

Is the Fed ignoring market risk?

BUSINESS

Is the Fed ignoring market risk?

Powell has to choose a rate level that he thinks will get financial conditions to the right place at the right pace 

End the Fed ‘put’

BUSINESS

End the Fed ‘put’

With the entire credibility of central banking on the line, the focus needs to be on fighting inflation

Central banks set to lift interest rates to 15-year highs as investor jitters grow

BUSINESS

Central banks set to lift interest rates to 15-year highs as investor jitters grow

If central banks keep rates high for a protracted period or raise them by more than investors expect, the bond market rally could unravel.

The end of Chinese lockdowns and the reopening of trade

BUSINESS

The end of Chinese lockdowns and the reopening of trade

Risks of disruption to ports and shipping are outweighed by a boost to global demand

Mohamed El-Erian: Why passive investing makes less sense in the current environment

BUSINESS

Mohamed El-Erian: Why passive investing makes less sense in the current environment

This is an investment world that will reward much greater selectivity and dynamic asset allocation

China’s record $2.6 tn rise in savings fuels ‘revenge spending’ hopes

BUSINESS

China’s record $2.6 tn rise in savings fuels ‘revenge spending’ hopes

Doubts linger over consumers’ willingness to deploy ‘excess’ deposits

Luxury boom shows the staying power of the ultra-rich

BUSINESS

Luxury boom shows the staying power of the ultra-rich

Many of our expectations about the spending patterns of the wealthy are being confounded

New oil reality bites for Kremlin

BUSINESS

New oil reality bites for Kremlin

Energy boom boosted Putin in 2022 but price cap and falling cost of crude worries policymakers

How Apple tied its fortunes to China

BUSINESS

How Apple tied its fortunes to China

The company spent two decades and billions of dollars building a supply chain of unprecedented sophistication. Now, a reckoning is coming

Geopolitics threatens to destroy the world Davos made

BUSINESS

Geopolitics threatens to destroy the world Davos made

World Economic Forum delegates fear that a long period of peace and economic integration could be coming to a close

What economists get wrong about personal finance

BUSINESS

What economists get wrong about personal finance

The advice given by academics and by financial self-help gurus is often very different

Wall Street’s top cop trains his sights on crypto

BUSINESS

Wall Street’s top cop trains his sights on crypto

Damian Williams faces big test in prosecuting high-profile case against FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried

Xi Jinping’s plan to reset China’s economy and win back friends

BUSINESS

Xi Jinping’s plan to reset China’s economy and win back friends

Amid a chaotic exit from COVID lockdowns, China is looking to reduce its international isolation and boost its growth rate

We need to pay more attention to misaligned signals on the global economy

BUSINESS

We need to pay more attention to misaligned signals on the global economy

Investors should be wary of a repeat of last year’s ‘transitory inflation’ type of mistake

US inflation has not ‘turned the corner yet’, IMF's Gita Gopinath warns

BUSINESS

US inflation has not ‘turned the corner yet’, IMF's Gita Gopinath warns

Fund’s second-in-command urges Fed to ‘stay the course’ on rate rises this year

The new Gulf sovereign wealth fund boom

BUSINESS

The new Gulf sovereign wealth fund boom

Companies are flocking to the Middle East to raise capital just as they did in 2008. But funds say they are being more strategic about investments

Central bank digital currency: blockchain could upend banking

BUSINESS

Central bank digital currency: blockchain could upend banking

Banks must lead industrialisation of their services or risk further erosion of earnings from core activities

Business trends, risks and people to watch in 2023

BUSINESS

Business trends, risks and people to watch in 2023

What to look for this year in the corporate world in sectors from energy to private capital and technology

Sharp fall in global dealmaking brings pandemic-era frenzy to a halt

BUSINESS

Sharp fall in global dealmaking brings pandemic-era frenzy to a halt

M&A suffers record decline in second half of 2022 as interest rate rises hit financing

Financial trends: investors seek safety via Great Rotation

BUSINESS

Financial trends: investors seek safety via Great Rotation

Darkening economic outlook has increased the appeal of capital-preserving defensive stocks

Time for new investors to take an old approach

BUSINESS

Time for new investors to take an old approach

Losing money should not lead young people to lose faith in investing. Long term rewards will make it worth it

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