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Anubhav Sahu

Special Analyst

Moneycontrol Research

Fed reaches lower range of neutral rate; global growth, event risks need to be watched

BUSINESS

Fed reaches lower range of neutral rate; global growth, event risks need to be watched

The markets expected a far more dovish tone and is now concerned about global growth slowdown

HUL gets a taste of Horlicks: Big leap in food segment; innovations and synergy holds promise

BUSINESS

HUL gets a taste of Horlicks: Big leap in food segment; innovations and synergy holds promise

Overall we find this deal transaction earnings accretive and believe that synergy benefits are worth watching out for.

G20 meet: A sentiment boost to global risk appetite; long road ahead

BUSINESS

G20 meet: A sentiment boost to global risk appetite; long road ahead

If the sudden decline in oil prices and the apparent change in the Federal Reserve’s stance was not enough, the takeaways from the recently concluded G20 meet is boosting risk appetite. Among its key highlights, US agreed not to escalate tariffs from 10 percent to 25 percent on imports of $200 billion Chinese goods for a 90 day period and utilise the time window for trade talks. China, US President Donald Trump said, has agreed to reduce tariffs on US cars exported to the country and substantially increase US imports.

Galaxy Surfactants Q2FY19 review: Improved domestic growth outlook offset by weak international show

BUSINESS

Galaxy Surfactants Q2FY19 review: Improved domestic growth outlook offset by weak international show

Company’s capacity utilisation level is near optimum level of 78 percent currently. In in light of the fact that it takes 2-3 years for new capacity to commission, company is primed for new capex plan to cater to steady demand from the FMCG sector.

Fed’s neutral rate stance can have a positive rub off on Indian equities

BUSINESS

Fed’s neutral rate stance can have a positive rub off on Indian equities

A moderate rate path by Fed could ease off pressure on EM currencies and have a positive implications for EM in terms of fund flows, commodity imports and inflation.

Q2 FY19 review: Add these 2 aromatic chemical companies to your portfolio

BUSINESS

Q2 FY19 review: Add these 2 aromatic chemical companies to your portfolio

Benzene-based specialty chemical companies continue to deliver strong operating results aided by tactical factors like disruption in China production and structural improvement in cost competitiveness and technical prowess

Rain Ind: Adverse impact on Q3 CY18 sales volume already in price; accumulate

BUSINESS

Rain Ind: Adverse impact on Q3 CY18 sales volume already in price; accumulate

We expect growth in CY19 to be led by volume improvement in carbon segment and pricing gains in the advance material segment

Balaji Amines Q2FY19 review: Volume growth hit by transitory issues; accumulate

BUSINESS

Balaji Amines Q2FY19 review: Volume growth hit by transitory issues; accumulate

In our assessment, growth levers for Balaji Amines are intact and we remain positive on the stock, primarily because of its strategy of capitalising on import substitution opportunities

Sadhana Nitro: A niche player in the nitrobenzene value chain; diversification is key

BUSINESS

Sadhana Nitro: A niche player in the nitrobenzene value chain; diversification is key

As far SNCL is concerned, its diversification into various end-market applications holds promise and helps it to move beyond the commodity play

Britannia Q2 review: Portfolio expansion, distribution reach to aid earnings, Accumulate

BUSINESS

Britannia Q2 review: Portfolio expansion, distribution reach to aid earnings, Accumulate

The management outlook on operating margin remains positive. It is also aiming at a price increase of about three percent in Q4. Bulk of its cost saving target (Rs 250 crore) is expected to unfold in the second-half

Buy HEG on dips; higher FY19 capacity utilisation guidance a positive

BUSINESS

Buy HEG on dips; higher FY19 capacity utilisation guidance a positive

The management said Chinese government’s anti-pollution campaign is stricter in the current year

Dabur Q2 FY19: Moderation in rural growth expectations; accumulate on staggered basis

BUSINESS

Dabur Q2 FY19: Moderation in rural growth expectations; accumulate on staggered basis

Dabur posted consolidated sales growth of 8.5% YoY mainly aided by 8.1% volume growth (vs. 7.2% in the base quarter) in the domestic business (69% of sales)

Emami Q2FY19 review: Business in transition; accumulate on dips

BUSINESS

Emami Q2FY19 review: Business in transition; accumulate on dips

Management is hopeful of clocking double digit sales growth in FY19 on the back of recent strategy changes and improving demand. However, double digit volume growth (earlier guidance) scenario in this fiscal looks less likely.

ITC Q2FY19 review: Broadening of growth levers; regulatory risks remain

BUSINESS

ITC Q2FY19 review: Broadening of growth levers; regulatory risks remain

Recently, a few of ITC’s businesses have witnessed encouraging growth traction –volume growth in FMCG business, growth outlook in hotel business and paper business and stabilization in cigarette business.

Zydus Wellness’ Kraft Heinz bet healthy, but requires heavy lifting

BUSINESS

Zydus Wellness’ Kraft Heinz bet healthy, but requires heavy lifting

The M&A transaction can be EPS accretive provided there is higher private equity or third party participation.

Bodal Chemicals benefits from favourable demand-supply dynamics

BUSINESS

Bodal Chemicals benefits from favourable demand-supply dynamics

We remain positive on the traction towards vertical integration and capacity expansion.

Bajaj Corp Q2 review: Business in transition; wholesale channel weakness key worry

BUSINESS

Bajaj Corp Q2 review: Business in transition; wholesale channel weakness key worry

Key thing to watch for the company is volume offtakes from rural areas and consumer response post-relaunch of ADHO.

China growth slowdown gets worrisome as trade tiff broadens

BUSINESS

China growth slowdown gets worrisome as trade tiff broadens

Consistent positive macro data from the US and Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance has been instrumental in reversal of portfolio flows from China and other emerging markets to the US

Bhansali Engineering Q2 review: Weaker rupee & input cost weigh; accumulate on dips

BUSINESS

Bhansali Engineering Q2 review: Weaker rupee & input cost weigh; accumulate on dips

The company is already witnessing improved market share. Its planned mega capacity expansion (200,000 tpa in FY21) is expected to bridge the domestic demand and supply gap

Risk reward turns favourable in these 3 FMCG stocks; should you buy?

BUSINESS

Risk reward turns favourable in these 3 FMCG stocks; should you buy?

Market beta (sensitivity to broader index) of various FMCG stocks are well below one, which means they decline or rise less in times of market wide correction or upsurge phases, respectively

US earnings review: Performance so far outshines global macro worries

BUSINESS

US earnings review: Performance so far outshines global macro worries

So far, more than 10 percent of S&P 500 companies mostly from the financials, technology, consumption and industrial sectors have reported earnings.

SC petcoke verdict removes major hurdle, but uncertainty on capex remains

BUSINESS

SC petcoke verdict removes major hurdle, but uncertainty on capex remains

The court verdict removes a major hurdle for the petcoke value chain catering to the aluminium industry

US political uncertainty can potentially thaw in fund outflows from emerging markets

BUSINESS

US political uncertainty can potentially thaw in fund outflows from emerging markets

Upcoming US midterm election could potentially halt the rally in USD and reverse the flows from US markets to relatively better-placed EMs like India

Why are global bond yields rising and what it means for emerging markets such as India?

BUSINESS

Why are global bond yields rising and what it means for emerging markets such as India?

Since the investors seek higher risk premium for the earnings visibility in this scenario, management outlook and operational execution gains prime importance.

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