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Gold hits 11-month high; $1,800 now in sight

Gold shot to its highest since last November on Thursday, with sights set firmly on the psychologically key USD 1,800 per ounce level, as the European Central Bank elected to keep interest rates at ultra low levels.

October 05, 2012 / 08:25 IST

Gold shot to its highest since last November on Thursday, with sights set firmly on the psychologically key USD 1,800 per ounce level, as the European Central Bank elected to keep interest rates at ultra low levels.


A broadly stronger euro kept its firm tone - and supported bullion - after ECB president Mario Draghi said the bank's debt-buying plan had reduced tensions, even though economic growth remained weak.


Also, a mildly positive US private sector employment report on Wednesday was keeping Friday's US non-farm payrolls report in sharp focus as markets checked odds for an upside surprise.


Spot gold was up 0.6 percent at USD 1,787.74 per ounce, having earlier hit an 11 month high at USD 1,794.40. U.S. gold futures gained 0.6 percent to USD 1,789.60.


On the crosses, gold priced in rand hit a record high


Dealers said the supportive low interest rate environment and backdrop of further monetary stimulus made further price gains inevitable.


"The question is of when rather than if we break out," said Simon Weeks, director of precious metal sales at ScotiaMocatta.


"We've made about three highs in the low 1,790s. It needs to close above this resistance in the low to mid 90s, if we close above there, the next resistance is USD 1,815," he added.


The European Central Bank kept its main interest rate unchanged at 0.75 percent, while the Bank of England kept policy on hold at a record low 0.5 percent and its quantitative easing policy intact.


CAUTION ON PAYROLLS


Traders are likely to stay cautious ahead of the release of the all-important U.S. non-farm payrolls report on Friday. Data on Wednesday showed a surprise jump in private employment in the world's largest economy.


But the private-sector report did little to alter the view that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates low until it sees signs of substantial economic progress. The Fed last month announced a third round of asset buybacks, or quantitative easing (QE3).


"With the Fed now focusing more intensely on US employment data, a poor result would sufficiently re-energise the gold market's attempts to push higher and help get past the $1800 psychological mark," UBS analyst Edel Tully said in a note to clients.


Investor interest in gold remained buoyed, as holdings of gold-backed exchange-traded funds had inched up to 74.152 million ounces by October 2, just off a record high of 74.288 million ounces hit in late September.


"Gold is well supported as new money keeps entering the market in the new quarter," said a Tokyo-based trader.


Spot platinum was 1.1 percent higher at USD 1,699.4, in an eighth straight session of gains, supported by spreading labour strife in South Africa that has already forced a halt in production at top producer Anglo American Platinum's Rustenburg mines, and also affected some gold mines.


Spot silver rose 0.7 percent to USD 34.78, while palladium added 2 percent to USD 662.00 an ounce, chasing the positive tone in platinum.

first published: Oct 4, 2012 07:16 pm

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