With the theme being the best return on equity fundamentals in six years with Asia Pacific ex-Japan return on equity rising from a low of 10 percent to 10.6 percent, continue to suggest buying the dips, she feels.
"We are reviewing MSCI Asia ex-Japan year-end target of 580 as we have just passed it. We continue to suggest buying the dips," Siva says.
Siva continues to suggest investors buying dips with MSCI Asia Ex-Japan year-end target of 580 offering about 4 percent potential upside.
While we are sticking with our overweight in tech, we are suggesting a switch to banks for investors who want to take profit. One of the top picks from the CS regional portfolio is HCL Tech, says Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse.
Preferred play is HCL Technologies where there appear to be signs of RoE bottoming, she says, adding the brokerage house has an outperform rating on HCL Technologies.
Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse, in a note today, said that she maintains an underweight stance and has an underperform ranking on India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Philippines. All four seem to be expensive according to Siva.
For India, every time the premium rises to above 50 percent, it has tended to underperform & year-to-date, she says. MSCI India has underperformed by 5.8 percent.
With MSCI Asia ex-Japan up 25 percent from the lows in January, Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse suggests buying the dips rather than chasing the rallies.
Christopher Wood of CLSA says investments in Indiabulls Housing Finance and DLF will be introduced with 3 percent each, while the existing investment in Prestige Estates will be increased by 1 percent.
The correction in MS Asia Ex-Japan and the current rally in MS Asia Ex-Japan are two reasons why investors should sell in May, says Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse.
Credit Suisse continues to be long on Indian IT and has a constructive view on the US economy, says Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse.
CNBC-TV18‘s Nimesh Shah gets expert opinions from strategists like Timothy Moe of Goldman Sachs, Jonathan Garner of Morgan Stanley and Sakthi Siva, of Credit Suisse who believe that the rebound is more like a recovery from excessive pessimism and not the start of an uptrend.
According to Siva, even more striking is that the rate of slowing in RoE is remarkably similar in both countries recently. India's premium has once again risen to above 50 percent, Siva says, adding while history is not always an accurate guide, previous episodes were associated with underperformance.
In India, with the return on equity gap between cyclicals and defensives stabilising, she highlights staples and healthcare as the two most overvalued sectors coupled with EPS cuts, Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse says.
Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse continues to prefer cyclicals regionally and in India. Top picks from the Credit Suisse regional portfolio are HCL Technologies and Hindalco.
Historically, India has always underperformed once its premium reaches 50 percent. She says even with the 46 percent premium, she estimates implied RoE to be 18.5 percent against the current RoE of just 13.5 percent.
Siva believes there is more room for underperformance, as investors have been 'hiding' in India and the Philippines.
Siva says India's 2015 consensus EPS downgrades of 17 percent are double the regions. "India's current ROE is 13.8 percent but implied ROE is 19.1 percent, we reiterate underweight call on India," she adds.
The fact that net foreign buying so far is just USD 3 billion after selling of USD 23 billion also suggests more upside, Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse feels.
Sakthi Siva, Credit Suisse believes there is more room for underperformance, as investors have been 'hiding' in India and the Philippines.
In a survey at brokerage's Emerging Markets Credit and Equity conference, EM equities received most votes for best performing asset class in 2016, says Mowat, adding India remains the preferred market.
"We continue to be overweight on Indian IT, particularly HCL Technologies and find defensives, particularly staples seeing EPS downgrades (ITC and Hindustan Unilever), unattractive," Siva says.
"We continue to remain overweight on four cheapest markets on our price-to-book-value against return on equity valuation model which are MSCI China, Korea, Taiwan and Singapore," says Siva.
Sakthi Siva of Credit Suisse expects the market to overshoot the 2008-09 low.
"India's 53 percent premium on price-to-book versus return on equity (ROE) valuation model means that a recovery from the current 14.1 percent ROE to 19.8 percent already appears to be priced in," Siva said.