Citing macro concerns like inflation, dollar prices etc, Herald said that apart from Indonesia, only country managing to sail through these tough times in Asian markets, is India.
Inflation is expected to come down in the Eurozone and the US, says Herald Van Der Linde, Head of Equity Strategist, Asia-Pacific at HSBC.
The equity market is at risk despite the rally seen since March, says Herald Van Der Linde, Head of equity Strategy, Asia-Pacific at HSBC adding that India is not an exception to that. A big move of volatility is expected in next couple of months.
HSBC has maintained overweight rating on Indian equities and believes that the August CPI print of 5 percent marks the start of a prolonged period (approximately a year) in which CPI inflation is likely to trend at or below 5 percent.
Herald Van Der Linde of HSBC continues to be overweight on Indian equities as monetary transmission mechanism is underway and passage of GST bill is a big step towards improving tax efficiency in India.
While 4-5 percent upside is expected in Indian market, appointment of new RBI governor, monsoon and global markets continue to be key risks for the country, says Herald Van Der Linde of HSBC.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18, HSBC's Head of Equity Strategy Herald Van Der Linde, says the fall in interest rates, relatively better earnings growth and a large exposure to commodity prices is making India a good place to bet on.
Capex delays and expectations of a poor monsoon will put pressure on earnings, while valuations remain high, said Herald van der Linde, HSBC.
India remains one of the most over-owned market in Asia and the bank says the potential for more equity outflows has increased because foreign positions look stretched.
Faced with global risk factors and FIIs pulling out, India seems to be faced with losing its favourite emerging market status. But is this bounce back a buying opportunity for equity investors? In an interview to CNBC-TV18‘s Shereen Bhan, Herald Van Der Linde, Head-Asia Equity Strategy at HSBC, discuss on the same.
Herald Van Der Linde, HSBC believes there are no specific risks in India, the only risk being other markets could become more attractive.
Herald Van Der Linde understands the reason why Asian equities will see a decent growth this year. In an interview, he said the bull run will continue for a while more, although US rate hike fears will cause multiple scares through the course.
Van Der Linde said the Indian equities have already rallied 22-24 percent and the upside looks capped for the year.
Herald Van Der Linde of HSBC is a bit cautious on 2014 outlook for emerging markets and all of Asia with regards to the taper fear.
Herald Van Der Linde, head of equity strategy for the Asia-Pacific region at HSBC says India would not be impacted to a great extent by tapering because of the corrective steps taken by the government.
Herald Van Der Linde, Head of Equity Strategy, Asia-Pacific, HSBC maintains a cautious approach towards Indian market and expects it to correct.
Herald Van Der Linde feels earnings will be downgraded soon and even though right now India is trading at fair multiples, these multiples need to come down further before India starts to look very cheap
In comparison to the rest of the Asian region, outflows from India have been relatively less. Van Der Linde believes there will be a slowdown in terms of FII outflows from India. He says, most FIIs do not have many options in Asia, as China, Korea no longer look attractive
HSBC is overweight on Chinese market due to cheap valuations there. He is also bullish on sectors like healthcare, software and private banks.
We downgrade India to underweight from neutral because of high inflation, slower growth and lack of measures to control the current account deficit, says Herald Van Der Linde, HSBC
Herald Van Der Linde, head of equity strategy (Asia-Pacific) at HSBC is neutral on India as he sees very little follow-through coming after the slew of reform measures announced.
Herald Van Der Linde, head-equity strategy, Asia Pacific, HSBC says that it is a good time to invest in global equities with a 12-month view. "After the markets rallied late 2012, the fundamentals are starting to catch up. Earnings prospects across Asia look okay but it will take time for the fundamentals to catch up," he told CNBC-TV18.
According to Herald Van Der Linde of HSBC, the budget is likely to focus on fiscal consolidation, an uptick in investment and current account deficit control measures.
Herald Van Der Linde of HSBC said they remained neutral on India in an Asian context as valuations look expensive.
Herald Van Der Linde, Head of Equity Strategy, Asia-Pacific, HSBC believes global markets have fared well right from the beginning of 2013 and therefore, it may not be unlikely to see it taking a bit of a breather.