A credible path for fiscal consolidation, alongside targeted social spending, would reinforce macro stability and investor confidence, said Ross Maxwell.
The big wildcard for 2026 is whether the war in Europe can end, delivering a major peace dividend for markets, said Stefan Hofer.
Following another cut in the federal funds rate, Stefan Hofer believes the Federal Reserve could move again in December with an additional rate cut—especially if lower tariffs help ease inflationary pressures.
Important structural reforms and the ongoing infrastructure boom reinforce belief that India can deliver real GDP growth of +6.5% over the coming years, says LGT’s Stefan Hofer.
After the 25 percent US tariff, in aggregate, LGT’s Stefan Hofer doesn’t expect material downside to India’s economic growth, albeit some sectors may be more impacted than others.
DBS Bank remains constructive on gold despite the current wave of consolidation. There remains a multitude of long-term tailwinds for gold, Joanne Goh said.
The FOMC meeting was in line with expectations and in line with the Fed’s dual mandate of full employment and price stability, said Stefan Hofer of LGT Private Bank.
Stefan Hofer of LGT Private Bank believes corporate India balance sheets are strong, India's fiscal deficits are improving at 4.2% to 4.4%, and Banks balance sheet are strong, with low levels of NPA.
Given the policy uncertainty, LGT Bank's Stefan Hofer sees a modest upside in gold prices, predominantly as a hedge against geopolitical risk and rising inflationary pressures.
India’s economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience thus far and is poised to sustain its strong performance this year, says Hou Wey Fook of DBS Bank.
In the absence of structural imbalances among households and companies, a US economic 'soft landing' remains base case scenario for DBS Bank, says Hou Wey Fook
If the dollar softens next year as is our expectation, and Chinese stocks remain off-limits to foreign investors due to geo-politics and the slow economy there, then foreign money should flow to Indian stocks, says Mark Matthews of Julius Baer.
Inflation concerns in India will likely persist for the rest of the calendar year, says Hou Wey Fook of DBS Bank.