The prospect of three full 25 basis-point Fed rate reductions by year-end, combined with expectations that the ECB won’t cut further, is set to narrow the gap between the two central banks’ key rates.
According to Bloomberg data, the rupee has weakened by 13.6 percent against the Euro, 9.3 percent against the Pound, and 8.4 percent against the Yen. In contrast, it has declined only 2.73 percent against the US dollar year-to-date.
The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six others, slipped to 96.688, its lowest since February 2022
Immediately after Russia’s invasion in February 2022, the central bank imposed capital controls and pegged the hryvnia at an official rate of about 29 to the U.S. dollar. Ukraine was forced to devalue later due to a buildup of fiscal imbalances.
Investors worry that the trade duties will dent U.S. growth and potentially reignite inflation, although the prospect of narrower-than-feared tariffs has buoyed sentiment recently.
The dollar has erased its post-election gains as market concerns over US tariffs and recession risks intensify.
There’s no silver bullet in the currency markets
The euro languished near an almost seven-month trough reached overnight, while the yuan wallowed close to a more than three-month low with Europe and China both particular targets of potential Trump tariffs.
The August figure was down from 2.6% in July, according to figures Friday from European Union statistics agency Eurostat. Energy prices fell in August by 3%, helping lower the overall figure, while inflation fell to 2% in Germany, the eurozone’s largest economy.
The yen is up 10 percent against the dollar in just over 3 weeks, driven by Bank of Japan's large 15 basis points rate rise on July 31 to 0.25 percent.
In Asia, the MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was 0.18% lower, to kick off the second half of the year having risen 7% so far in 2024. Japan's Nikkei rose 0.57%.
Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) party won the first round of France's parliamentary elections on Sunday, exit polls showed, although analysts noted the party won a smaller share of the vote than some polls had initially projected.
The market also braced for a slew of top-tier economic data from China as investors sought clarity on how much the world's second-largest economy is struggling to gain momentum.
Germans are hoping for a repeat of 2006, when many fell in love with their national team again after a period in the doldrums similar to what they have experienced in the years leading up to this competition
Greece's economy expanded by 2% last year, slightly lower than the government's projection but still well above the euro zone average of 0.4%
Inflation has been steadily declining globally. Both the US and euro-zone consumer price measures peaked at just over 9% in mid- to late-2022, with February seeing euro-zone inflation dropping to 2.6%, lower than the 3.1% figure for the US. On the growth outlook, US gross domestic product rose at an annualised 3.2% pace while the euro zone economy stagnated
The unit hit 164.48 per euro -- its weakest since 2008 -- as the difference between European Central Bank rates and the BoJ remained wide enough to prevent traders shifting their focus to Japan.
While the fall in euro usage and corresponding jump in dollar dominance may have been overdone last year, any correction is likely to be modest until the geopolitical air clears. Some of the loss of status and relevance for the euro will be permanent
The weakness in the dollar has buoyed the yen, along with expectations the Bank of Japan may shift away from its ultra-loose monetary policy next year.
The dollar index, which tracks the unit against six other majors, was slightly lower on the day at 106.59, though it was still on track for an 11th straight week of gains, and just off its 10-month high hit on Wednesday.
The dollar index, which measures the currency against six major peers, rose as high as 102.84, its highest level in four weeks. It was last little changed at 102.60, after Wednesday’s 0.5% gain.
This week is likely to see the dollar consolidate as investors wait on the Federal Reserve's meeting next week when the U.S. central bank is expected to hike rates by an additional 25 basis points.
Following the data, the euro rose 0.24% to $1.0987 while sterling was up 0.14% to $1.2640.
Another rout in regional U.S. bank shares overnight was hardly helping spirits, but with gold a whisker away from a record high and oil higher after a tough few days, focus was naturally on Frankfurt.
It was last up 0.05% against the dollar at $1.104, not far off yesterday's one-year peak of $1.1096.