Tools such as OMOs, buybacks, and switches will be used to manage bond market borrowings in FY27, Thakur said.
The government's FY27 fiscal deficit target of 4.3% of GDP and elevated capex allocation reinforce policy credibility though higher gross borrowings will test market appetite in the near term
Bond market participants feel that the headline fiscal numbers were largely reassuring, but the elevated gross supply of dated securities could weigh on yields until clarity emerges on demand conditions making support from Reserve Bank of India very critical to determine the trajectory hereon.
The government doubles down on manufacturing, resilience, and public investment, but higher borrowing keeps the yield curve steep and duration risks tilted to the long end
A weak start to equity markets in 2026 leads to the possibility of a post-Budget rally, if it manages to improve market optimism
Bond markets should expect steady fiscal consolidation in FY27, with the deficit targeted at 4.2% of GDP and gross borrowing rising to ₹16.5+ trillion despite manageable net supply
Indian bond markets stabilize as RBI's rate cut cycle pauses; 10-year yield consolidates at 6.57-6.59%. Focus shifts to liquidity management, fiscal dynamics, currency stability, and global flows shaping yields.
As the monetary easing cycle ends, India's bond market in 2026 faces a tricky landscape of fiscal pressures, heavy supply, and shifting demand—requiring cautious, accrual-focused strategies amid a steep yield curve
Surplus liquidity would keep the shorter end of the curve anchored
Market participants believe that the benefits will be concentrated on the BFSI ecosystem, which dominates India’s corporate bond market.
New NITI Aayog report sets out a three-phase reform roadmap as India’s equity market continues to outpace corporate debt seven-fold.
This week Rs 25,023 crore has been raised through corporate bonds. Corporates and banks raised Rs 15,193 crore via BSE’s electronic book platform and Rs 9,830 crore on NSE’s EBP
Central government is likely to borrow around Rs 1 lakh crore every month until February 2026, with a smaller amount expected in March, a report said
The fixed income landscape is undergoing a fundamental shift, with both the monetary and fiscal policy getting into a tough lane
Global market trend is more a technical move specific to 30-year issues
Lower-than-expected revenue loss from the GST rate rationalisation and some scope for interest rate cut could be favourable factors
India's bond market faces headwinds as Trump's tariffs and GST reforms create a complex macro environment, though favourable liquidity conditions may limit yield upside
With the RBI adopting a neutral stance, bond investors now have an opportunity to recalibrate their positions
In a lower for longer regime, fixed income investors must focus on high credit quality
Oil prices surging amid Israel-Iran tensions typically spell trouble for Indian bond markets, but structural economic reforms have dramatically reduced this vulnerability
The EU now has a unique chance to capitalise on investor doubts about the US and promote the euro as a reserve currency
Despite a broad rebound in US equities since tariffs rattled the world, long-term Treasury yields have not fully followed suit
On the one hand, inflation has softened, with CPI falling to 4.31% in January — a positive for bonds. On the other, global uncertainties and the RBI’s cautious policy stance are keeping traders from making bold bets on lower yields
Going forward, we see room for at least one more rate cut in April. If current growth sluggishness continues, we might see further rate cuts beyond April
If the RBI cuts rates then overseas investors may find yields on bonds significantly less attractive due to higher taxes, lower coupon rates and the currency risk