 
            
                           Motilal Oswal's research report on The Ramco Cements
The Ramco Cements (TRCL) is expected to benefit from the sharp price hikes in the southern region along with a higher pace of consolidation in the region. The average cement price in the South has increased MoM by INR33/bag (~10%) in Apr’25. TRCL has a higher exposure in the southern region, with 78- 79% of its total volume being sold in the southern markets. The Tamil Nadu (TN) government has imposed an INR160/t mining tax on limestone mining. TRCL is estimated to be the most impacted given its higher clinker capacity in TN (~52% of its total capacity). However, the recent price hikes, improvement in the clinker-to-cement (C:C) ratio, and cost reduction measures are likely to more than offset the additional mineral tax burden.
Outlook
The stock is currently trading at 14x/12x FY26E/FY27E EV/EBITDA (vs. its longterm average of 15x) and USD119/USD102 EV/t (vs. long-term average of USD130). We value the stock at 13x (earlier 12x) FY27E EV/EBITDA to arrive at our revised TP of INR1,030 (vs. INR900). Reiterate Neutral.
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