Anand Rathi's research report on Godrej Consumer Products
Godrej Consumer Products’ Q3 business update highlighted temporary headwinds. Flat Q3 volumes (vs. average ~7% y/y organic growth in H1 FY25 and in the last six quarters) are expected due to challenges in soaps and home insecticides (HI), which account for nearly two-thirds of domestic revenue. While 20-30% y/y higher palm oil prices drove price hikes, grammage cuts and reduced trade schemes led to lower volume growth (destocking) in soaps; the HI segment was hurt by the adverse weather (delayed winter in north India and a cyclone in the south). Further, on the high base of Q3FY24 standalone EBITDA margin, a sharp inflation in input cost could drag operating profits. Factoring in the above, we lower our FY25e-27e revenue ~5% and earnings 7-9%.
Outlook
However, we are optimistic about growth prospects, owing to the company’s industry-leading volume growth (as seen over the last six quarters), led by distribution initiatives and innovations. We maintain our Buy rating, with a lower 12-mth TP of Rs1,485 (Rs1,670 earlier), 50x FY27e EPS (52x FY27e EPS).
For all recommendations report, click here
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
Discover the latest Business News, Sensex, and Nifty updates. Obtain Personal Finance insights, tax queries, and expert opinions on Moneycontrol or download the Moneycontrol App to stay updated!
Find the best of Al News in one place, specially curated for you every weekend.
Stay on top of the latest tech trends and biggest startup news.