February 20, 2017 / 16:46 IST
BPCL aims to complete Kochi refinery upgradation by Mar ’17, and expects full capacity utilization in FY18. We estimate the upgradation to add 8-10% to FY18 EBITDA, driven by (a) improvement in Kochi refinery's GRM by USD 2/bl due to higher distillate yields and reduction in fuel oil production, and (b) higher volumes from 9 mntn to 15 mntn.
Outlook
We hike FY18E EPS by 11% to Rs 65due to (a) higher capacity utilization (100% vs. 90% earlier) for Kochi refinery, (b) higher GRM at USD 6.6/bl (USD 6/bl earlier), and (c) lower interest costs inline with 9MFY17 interest yield. Consequently, our TP stands revised to Rs 795 (Rs 740 earlier).
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