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Rupee Forward premium: Hedging cost has eased out

Mecklai Graph of the Day: Forward premium - Hedging cost has eased out. At the start of financial year 2012-13, exporters were enjoying widely on one-year forward premium that was hovering near 6.20 –6.50%.

May 16, 2012 / 14:00 IST

Mecklai Graph of the Day: Forward premium - Hedging cost has eased out


At the start of financial year 2012-13, exporters were enjoying widely on one-year forward premium that was hovering near 6.20 –6.50%. Since last week the earlier concerns over Euro zone crisis, poor economic figures and domestic dollar demand have pressurized the local currency to re-test its previous low of 54.30.


On other hand, selling in 12-month forward dragged premiums down from 330 to 254 paisa, thus lowering in annualized term from 5.7% to 4.5%. The central bank also intervened in the market, where instead of selling dollars outright, it has been matching dollar sale with a buy/sell swap - where it sells in the forward market so that the liquidity in the local money market is not affected.
It’s a good time for importers to hedge their current buyers credit and other short-term loans as the annualized cost have gone down hence the arbitrage between foreign currency loan vs. Rupee loan would be higher.


The below graph shows the annualized one-year forward premium for USDINR



 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

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first published: May 16, 2012 01:22 pm

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