Moneycontrol PRO
HomeNewsBusinessEconomyIndia to grow 7.5% in FY16, highest in G20: Moody's

India to grow 7.5% in FY16, highest in G20: Moody's

It said India would be a major beneficiary of reforms drive and softer oil prices among the G20 economies as the country is a major crude importer.

May 12, 2015 / 21:30 IST

India growth story received an impetus on Tuesday when rating agency Moody's said it will grow at a strong pace of 7.5 percent in 2015-16, the highest among G20 economies, helped by the reforms drive and lower oil prices.

"We forecast strong growth in India... at 7.5 percent in 2015-16, the highest among the G20 economies. Lower oil prices will reinforce gradual growth-enhancing reforms to support robust economic activity over the forecast period," Moody's Investors Service said, in a report.

At a time of shifting global investment flows, India benefits from reduced external imbalances, it said. "We expect a broadly balanced current account, for the first time in 10 years, thanks to lower energy import bill and restrictions in gold imports," Moody's said.

It said India would be a major beneficiary of softer oil prices among the G20 economies as the country is a major crude importer.

G20 is a group of 20 developing and industrialised economies, which accounts for 85 percent of the world's economic output.

Furthermore, the 'Make-in-India' campaign to boost domestic manufacturing and other reforms measures would bring in higher investment and boost growth, the rating agency said.

"If implemented as intended, these reforms and the wide support for business-friendly policies will help achieve higher investment growth than in 2013-14," Moody's said.

It said the targeting of inflation by the Reserve Bank (RBI) would ensure that higher inflation on food products does not spill onto other goods, services and wages.

"We forecast that ongoing moderate inflation will enable better planning of investment. Lower inflation will also raise real incomes, profits and overall GDP growth," it said.

According to the road map, RBI intends to lower retail inflation to 6 percent by January 2016 and 4 percent (+/- 2 percent) thereafter. 

first published: May 12, 2015 03:24 pm

Discover the latest Business News, Sensex, and Nifty updates. Obtain Personal Finance insights, tax queries, and expert opinions on Moneycontrol or download the Moneycontrol App to stay updated!

Subscribe to Tech Newsletters

  • On Saturdays

    Find the best of Al News in one place, specially curated for you every weekend.

  • Daily-Weekdays

    Stay on top of the latest tech trends and biggest startup news.

Advisory Alert: It has come to our attention that certain individuals are representing themselves as affiliates of Moneycontrol and soliciting funds on the false promise of assured returns on their investments. We wish to reiterate that Moneycontrol does not solicit funds from investors and neither does it promise any assured returns. In case you are approached by anyone making such claims, please write to us at grievanceofficer@nw18.com or call on 02268882347