While Goldman’s upgrade partly recognises India’s catch-up potential after lagging other emerging-market peers by nearly 25 percentage points this year, the firm highlighted that a structural strengthening of fundamentals is under way.
The sharp market up-move in recent weeks has emerged from a phase of extreme pessimism -- concerns over the rupee, commodities, global trade, and heavy FII selling, said Sandeep Tandon of Quant Mutual Fund.
Corporate earnings have begun to show signs of stabilising after a period of very heavy downgrades over the last 12-15 months, said Sanjeev Prasad, Managing Director and Co-Head of Kotak Institutional Equities.
Morningstar’s Kunal Kapoor thinks the biggest wild card for global markets over the next few months is Donald Trump’s tariff plan, which has the potential to ripple across most markets and sectors.
Indian share markets recovered, with Sensex and Nifty rising after six days of losses, supported by US-Russia peace talks and easing oil prices. India's five-month low CPI inflation also boost RBI rate cut expectations.
US President Donald Trump's latest tariff salvos hit Indian as well as global markets. Meanwhile, FII exodus from the Indian equities continues, with weakening rupee adding to the selling pressure.
Sensex and Nifty rebounded on Tuesday, recovering from a seven-month low, as easing inflation, a halt in crude oil prices, and improved global sentiment lifted markets. Gains in Adani group stocks and oversold conditions in large caps also supported the recovery.
Global cues such as the US economic data and Fed policy expectations, along with domestic factors including the Budget and Q3 earnings will be the key driving forces for benchmark market indices Sensex and Nifty going ahead.
Sensex crashed over 1 percent from the day's high, while Nifty slipped below 23,650. All NSE sectoral indices traded in the red, except for the Nifty Pharma index. Global cues also weighed on sentiment, and analysts expect the markets to remain under pressure.
Banking stocks drove a mid-day rebound in Sensex and Nifty, while auto and IT sectors lagged. Adani Enterprises surged, with Wipro leading laggards. Persistent concerns over FII outflows and rupee weakness remain.
Sensex and Nifty turned flat by midday Thursday as early gains faded amid thin volumes and cautious trading ahead of the year-end and F&O expiry.
The rally in Sensex and Nifty today was driven by positive cues from global markets and a slight moderation in the US inflation data. Markets will now watch FIIs buying and selling for a sustained direction.
The selloff in Nifty and Sensex has been driven by hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve, relentless FII selling, and concerns over high valuations. Sluggish corporate earnings growth and breach of technical support levels have further soured investor sentiment.
Nifty and Sensex are set to extend losses as the US Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts adds to domestic pressures like a weakening rupee and stretched valuations. Gift Nifty on IFSC fell nearly 1.5 percent this morning, following a sharp sell-off in the US equities overnight.
The recent market decline is driven by profit booking after a sharp 6-7 percent rally and investor caution ahead of the US Fed decision, with 24,000 on Nifty seen as a critical level for an upside bias.
Heavy selling pressure in finance, metal, FMCG, and IT shares, coupled with weak global cues and a falling rupee, weighed on market sentiment today, dragging Sensex and Nifty down more than 1 percent each.
Share market rebound came amid easing inflation and resilience in key sectors, though investors remain cautious ahead of next week’s US Federal Reserve policy meeting and domestic macroeconomic releases.
Markets are eyeing a liquidity boost from RBI monetary policy, keenly watching if Governor Shaktikanta Das-led Monetary Policy Committee will opt for a repo rate or cash reserve ratio cut amid signs of an economic slowdown.
The rebound in Sensex and Nifty was largely driven by strong buying in heavyweight stocks across sectors, with IT majors leading the charge. Easing selling pressure from FIIs helped.
Experts believe that last week’s GDP disappointment has been largely priced in by the markets. NSE Nifty 50 topped 24,400 today, while BSE Sensex gained 600 points intraday.
Experts said that the market appears to have discounted the weak economic growth beforehand, taking cues from Q2 corporate financial results. Now, the markets will closely watch RBI Governor's upcoming speech for insights into the mid-term policy approach.
While the weak GDP data is expected to dampen the market sentiment in the immediate term, experts said it could also have potential implications on monetary policy easing and broader investor confidence.
The recent correction in Indian equities has made valuations more reasonable, encouraging selective buying. Also, the structural undercurrent from domestic investors remains strong, offsetting FII selling.
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting (MPC) is underway, and the outcome will be announced on October 6.
We believe supply side disruptions, geopolitical tensions, commodity prices & improving domestic demand conditions pose risks to inflation outlook, while the growth seems to be fairly supported by domestic factors.