Market-leading brands drive sharp sequential growth; however, valuation is rich
Brokerages were split on Nestle India Ltd after its Q3 FY26 results, with analysts balancing strong volume-led growth and aggressive brand investments against near-term margin pressure and expensive valuations. Nomura maintained a Buy with an upside target, CLSA and Jefferies retained Hold ratings.
Nestle India reported a strong Q3 FY26 performance, with profit after tax rising to Rs 1,018 crore and sales jumping 18.5 percent year-on-year to a record Rs 5,643.5 crore, driven by broad-based, volume-led growth.
Promising rural consumption and urban demand recovery are the principal growth drivers to help sustain market share
Innovations, inorganic expansion, and a fundamentally strong business mix to drive sustained earnings growth
Revenue momentum remains strong, led by pricing growth and high single-digit underlying volume growth
High-growth food and ready-to-drink segments outperform, with healthy margin recovery
From a regional ethnic-snacks leader to a diversified snacking powerhouse, the company is building a scalable consumption franchise
Consumer staples and discretionary firms are seeing a steady uptick in demand, as a result of the festive-led recovery along with the GST rationalisation.
With trade conditions stabilising, consumer sentiment improved across both urban and rural markets
India’s FMCG sector is not just poised for recovery but is getting ready for sustained, value-led growth, analysts say. Both Marico and Dabur expect profits to improve in the coming quarters
The Indian LAB market continues to see a robust growth of 4-5%. Tamilnadu Petroproducts stands to gain
While Kantar data show traditional channels still hold over three-fourths of FMCG channel share, it is declining while that of online and supermarkets is increasing
Marico's food portfolio crossed Rs 1,100 crore annual recurring revenue in September quarter, with Saffola Oats continuing to gain market share even as honey and soya chunks continue to scale up
Gupta said that the FMCG sector is now lapping a lower base, and the growth momentum should continue into the next financial year.
According to Kotak Institutional Equities, the Street’s valuation logic for consumer companies is outdated in the context of the fundamentals.
Very small companies are doing exceptionally well in the FMCG market, even with disruptions related to GST rate cuts blamed for causing slower industry growth. Listed firms, better take note!
The company has a diversified growth agenda and its execution capabilities are strong
Growth revival in the core portfolio, rising contribution of high-margin brands, and stable cost environment expected to aid profitable growth
Volume-led top-line growth to be a key focus area in the medium term
Analysts say that a prolonged cold season could give FMCG companies a meaningful volume lift in the December quarter, especially those with winter-skewed portfolios.
Improving input costs, momentum in growth-oriented businesses to drive profitability
Stronger performance likely in H2, backed by multiple growth drivers across core categories in India, global markets
Jefferies maintained a ‘Buy’ call on Patanjali foods stock, citing management’s expectations of better demand in the second half, supported by GST rate cuts.