The note makes an argument that the current phase of selloff has entered an oversold territory and foreign investors should start to look at Indian equities as an attractive bet.
MOFSL believes that Indian equities are sitting in the latter phases of its correction cycle, with muted FY25 earnings growth expected to drive double-digit uptick in FY26.
"The Union Budget addressed two critical issues requiring immediate attention—demand and regulations," says Ashish Gupta, CIO of Axis MF.
InCred hoped that the upcoming Union budget provides 'hope' to reverse this trend through income-tax rate cuts, as the consumption sentiment and demand seen during the festive season has started easing.
The September quarter earnings picture showed that the broad-basing of earnings has moderated, as it was the largecaps that primarily drove the September quarter earnings growth for the Nifty 500 universe.
The note says that while India's growth is stabilizing at a lower level, though still favourable, the earnings per share (EPS) growth is concentrated in the small and mid-cap space.
The BFSI sector is expected to drive Q2 earnings growth for Nifty yet again, albeit not with the same mojo. Global-facing sectors such as IT, pharma, and chemicals are likely to provide additional support, while growth in automobiles, industrials, and commodities may slow down.
Prices of mid- and small-caps have risen, but they are not entirely driven by rise in earnings
Unlike 2021 and 2022, markets are staring at tepid growth, high valuations.
India's ROE is one of the highest in global markets. Only the United States has a higher ROE than India, whereas China's ROE has approximately halved over the past decade, according to Garner.
Indian market is witnessing an expansion characterized by the arrival of new and exciting companies, a rise in investor involvement, and a notable absence of excessive valuations, according to Divam Sharma of Green Portfolio.
While the market is expected to remain under pressure for a couple of days due to the hot US inflation print, it is unlikely to be as big a risk for Indian equities as concerns of an earnings slowdown, analysts believe.
The contribution of large cap companies to aggregate sales and net profit of BSE 500 firms remains steady and similar to pre-COVID levels
Among the heavyweights, the IT sector was a big drag, clocking 6.3 percent growth, while pharma and healthcare services delivered earnings growth of 3.6 percent and 8 percent, respectively.
Focusing on under-penetrated markets and higher distribution reach; investment in retail outlets will drive revenues and earnings growth
There are multiple factors why ICICI Bank should trade at a premium to HDFC Bank
Vesuvius India enjoys MNC parentage and is the market leader in the refractories segment, with top steel makers as its customers and a cash-rich balance sheet
With the banking system credit growth touching a 9-year high, SBI is in a sweet spot
Valuation of many stocks is very high and the ratio of the market capital to GDP is far above the normal level, so investors should not expect high returns, experts say
Agrawal who is the co-founder and joint managing director of MOFSL said that India is the next trn dollar opportunity and in line with the growth in the economy Sensex too might hit 200,000 in the next 10 years,
For long-term investors, the strategy to be followed is buy-on-dips
The budget is useful in setting the economic agenda but in the recent past, significant decisions such as the corporate tax cut have also been taken outside the budget, says Mihir Vora of Max Life Insurance.
The general slowdown has impacted consumption and investment but it is a matter of time before it recovers
The Nifty earnings should improve in FY21, but the global market could consolidate after a strong CY 2019, says Anil Sarin of Centrum Broking.
For markets to do well, more aggressive steps and reforms are needed, says UBS