India’s economic growth is not always bank-led
Nonetheless, tepid growth in current and savings account deposits has sustained in the April-June quarter.
The link between lower rates and credit growth isn’t always straightforward. While cheaper loans are enticing, several factors could temper their impact. For one, consumer sentiment remains cautious.
MSME credit is the silver lining in bank loan growth, growing at 14.6 percent in May
Liquidity is available but that’s not enough to push up credit growth.
The report pegs credit growth at 12-13 percent but says deposit growth remain a critical bottleneck
The reaffirmation rate climbed to approximately 83% , surpassing the 10-year average of 82.5% for the first time since FY22.
Overall bank credit growth had slowed to 7.7 percent, a clear reflection of the impact of higher lending rates stemming from monetary policy adjustments and the RBI's regulatory tightening, the report says
BFL 3.0 aims to meet the financial needs of its 200 million customers by integrating AI technology across all operations, the management said
Analysts expect the government to maintain a strong focus on capital expenditure, particularly in roads, railways, and urban development, to spur investment opportunities and thus credit demand for banks.
Bundling loans together and selling them has become a popular source of funding for banks amid deposit growth slowdown
NBFCs are risk takers but riskier lending is under the regulatory glare now.
The growth in assets under management (AUMs) of NBFCs is expected to slow down to 16-18 percent in FY25 from 25 percent in FY24
The shift in lending patterns is indicative of critical undercurrents in the economy. Money typically flows more to segments where economic activity is strengthening
Banks reported a credit growth of 13.7 percent in July 2024, compared to 19.5 percent in July 2023. This was due to the banks’ focus on managing the credit-deposit (CD) ratio and slow growth in personal and agriculture loans, research reports said.
Credit growth outpaced deposits in 17 of the last 33 years. Lagging deposit growth therefore should not be a reason for concern. It’s greater reliance by banks on borrowings to fund incremental credit that’s causing anxiety
Incremental deposit growth has overtaken credit growth in recent months as banks went aggressive on deposit mobilisation and credit growth slowed following RBI action
Indian banks have experienced significant credit growth in the post-pandemic years, but weak deposit growth threatens to undermine this progress. Permitting banks to issue bonds could address the challenge of sluggish deposit growth
Banks are facing challenges to garner more deposits. And deposit growth has not been in line with credit growth which has worried the RBI
As per the report, banks have made representations to senior government officials flagging the slowdown in deposit growth.
The slowdown will be due to lower GDP growth at 6.8 per cent in FY25, as against 7.6 per cent in FY24, RBI measures like higher risk weights on unsecured loans and also a high base, the agency said.
The agency said the credit growth will moderate to 11.6-12.5 per cent in FY25 from 16.3 per cent (excluding the impact of the HDFC twins merger) in FY24, while the lower net interest income margins on higher deposit rate payouts will lead to a dip in profits.
RBI governor Shaktikanta Das said on April 5 that the central bank would soon issue a draft circular to review the LCR for banks
Provisional numbers in the last quarter of FY24 showed banks reporting robust deposit growth.
'Banks' funding and liquidity will be stable. We continue to expect strong government support for banks in times of need,' the ratings agency said.