Jim Walker of Asianomics is worried about the rising consumer prices and how they may affect the market. As consumer prices pick up, the policy makers, he said, will be forced to tighten policy while economic growth rises.
The Budget is not likely to have lasting impact on the index, believes Chris Roberts of Asianomics Group. The current uptrend will mostly continue irrespective of the Budget outcome.
BSE 500 was at an all-time high yesterday as the index jumped 1.5 percent to 12,036, and Chris Roberts of Asianomics expect to see an eventual doubling from the old ceiling which would see the index reach levels of 16,000-18,000.
Sharmila Whelan, the deputy chief economist, Asianomics Group has a positive stance on Arvind Panagariya and expects two 25 bps interest rate cuts in the third and fourth quarters of FY17 under him.
Jim Walker places India high up in his conviction list saying Indian equities will see unprecedented growth in next 5-10 years.
Now since China has already seen a strong move, people would wait for consolidation to add further exposure there and would focus on India, says Chris Roberts of Asianomics.
Jim Walker is overweight on India on imporving corporate earnings and subdued commodity prices.
Chinese market contributes 40 percent to JLR (the UK subsidiary of Tata Motors) sales. JLR had reported strong 17 percent volume growth over past 6 months in China.
Walker sees China's GDP growth slowing down to 3-4 percent in 2015
Having concluded a 3-year consolidation phase, Jim Walker of Asianomics anticipates another 20-25 percent growth in Indian equities.
Roberts continues to be overweight on India and is quite confident that the market hasn't finished its bull run and there is a lot of potential to take it to a much higher level.
Economic growth going ahead will be dependent on government‘s reforms ahead, Jim Walker, MD, Asianomics said.
Roberts remains bullish on the US markets, but sees signs of a cyclical downturn. According to him, the US is going through a secular bear market.
Jim Walker, Founder & MD, Asianomics explains how Federal Reserve move impact on different currencies.
Jim Walker, Founder & MD, Asianomics has explained how emerging market got impacted due to Federal Reserve decision.
Jim Walker, Founder & MD, Asianomics explains about the tapering exercise.
Federal Reserve was concentrating on reviving the economy and the way that they tried to revive the economy was to cut interest rates and as we all know they have cut interest rates to zero, says Jim Walker, Founder & MD, Asianomics.
As Lehman Brothers collapsed trust in the system disappeared and every bank was scared to deal with any other bank, says Jim Walker, Founder & MD, Asianomics.
Jim Walker, Founder & MD, Asianomics explains why the Federal Reserve is the most important central bank across the world.
Post Lehman crisis, market became more concerned with what was happening in the US rather than in India and that stays to this day.
Foreign investors have a cautious stance on the Indian market, says Jim Walker MD, Asianomics. He would be a buyer in Sensex at 16,000 levels.
India really need is a sensible, responsible fiscal policy to shore up government finances and economies, inflation rate in the economy to cool down, says Jim Walker of Asianomics.
Jim Walker of Asianomics warns against holding high hopes from the government this Budget season.
Jim Walker, MD of Asianomics believes global investors will continue to remain focused on Asia, helped by the fact that credit conditions in China have eased considerably.
According to Jim Walker of Asianomics, the fact that capital expenditure is not the factor driving growth in the country is a warning sign.