Stock analysis is used by traders to make buy and sell call. It’s an approach to make informed decisions while investing in stocks. Stock analysis can be categorised into – fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis is evaluation of data from sources, including financial records, economic reports, company assets, and market share. Analysts typically study the company’s financial statements – balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement, and footnotes. These statements are made available to the investors in the form of quarterly earnings, disclosures to stock exchanges in compliance with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) norms. In fundamental analysis, the analysts particularly check for a company's core income, income from other sources, profitability, guidance, assets and liabilities and debt ratio among other parameters. The other method, i.e. the technical analysis focuses purely on statistical data. It works on two assumptions; one, the stock price reflects the fundamentals. Second, the study of past and present movement in prices can help determine the future price trends. Technical analysis primarily deals with price, volume, demand and supply factors. This method is effective only when supply and demand forces influence the market. However, when outside factors are involved in a price movement, technical analysis may not be successful. More
On the technical front, secondary oscillators suggest that volatility is likely to grip the market in the coming sessions.
As the market is inching higher, there is an upward shift in support level which is placed at 12,800 levels, supported by a 21-day exponential moving average.
While the road ahead looks brighter, analysts and brokerages advise being prudent while picking stocks.
Current chart formation suggests Nifty may find major support around 11,650 which is well-supported by a 21-day exponential moving average.
Put writers still hold the maximum open interest at 11,900 strikes which should act as immediate support for Nifty in the coming sessions.
Neeraj Chadawar of Axis Securities believes that the equity will continue to trade on higher multiples for some more time.
Nifty Midcap and Nifty Smallcap indices have outperformed gaining 3.1 percent and 4.3 percent, respectively, while Nifty has gained 1.2 percent in the week to date.
Liquidity driven rally has almost completed 78.60 percent retracement of the entire downswing seen from January 2020 top to March 2020 bottom.
Technically the index has been scaling higher with narrow ranged candles but the momentum indicators are diverging & indicating lack of strength.
Aashish Somaiyaa of Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company advised that one should avoid panic and remain invested.
Experts continue to warn that the market will keep oscillating between rise and fall and one must remain cautious while taking a call for trade.
While the banks and NBFCs have been dominating the benchmark indices, market experts say emerging sectors such as pharma are gearing up to take the front seat.
On March 25, the Indian benchmark index witnessed sharp short-covering majorly due to an extremely oversold oscillator and hope of an economic stimulus package to soften the blow from the lockdown.
As far as levels are concerned, 8,000-8,100 levels are key resistance levels for the Nifty which should cap any sharp upside.
Mitesh Thakkar of miteshthakkar.com suggests buying HDFC with a stop loss of Rs 2127 for target of Rs 2060.
Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com recommends buying Asian Paints with stop loss at Rs 1825 and target of Rs 1890 and Pidilite Industries with stop loss at Rs 1540 and target of Rs 1645.
Mitesh Thakkar of miteshthakkar.com suggests selling Bajaj Finserv with a stop loss of Rs 9450 for target of Rs 9240 and Container Corp with a stop loss of Rs 526 for target of Rs 495.
Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com advises buying Asian Paint with stop loss at Rs 1,760 and target of Rs 1,820.
Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com recommends buying Castrol India with stop loss at Rs 149 for target of Rs 165 and Manappuram Finance with stop loss at Rs 160 and target of Rs 185.
Ashwani Gujral of ashwanigujral.com recommends buying Cholamandalam Investment with a stop loss of Rs 324, target of Rs 338 and State Bank of India with a stop loss of Rs 319, target of Rs 334.
VK Vijaykumar of Geojit Financial Service feels the proposed AIF is better than the earlier one since this also includes projects referred to NCLT.
The index during the entire up-move of the last two months is seen sustaining above the rising trendline joining last two months lows signalling buying demand at its elevated support base
According to Kotak Institutional Equitie , companies under its universe may see 0-18 percent earnings growth in the current financial year.
For the rally to sustain, the index needs to close above 11,150-11,181 on a sustainable basis for any bounce back towards 11,350 levels.
As long term moving averages on weekly charts are placed there while on higher side 11,000 levels should act as key psychological level for Nifty.