In case of a further uptrend, the Nifty 50 may face resistance at the 23,500–23,700 zone, followed by 24,000, but the move may look unsustainable due to a sell-on-rally approach. Meanwhile, support is placed at the 23,000–22,950 zone.
The market needs follow-up buying interest and a sustainable close above the previous week's high for stability. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Sustainability of uptrend will be the key going forward. Overall, the structure is still in favour of bears, and the focus remains on oil prices, with traders monitoring developments related to the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.
Weekly options data suggested that the Nifty 50 is expected to trade in the 23,000–24,000 range in the short term, as a decisive close on either side could provide a firm direction to the index, with immediate resistance at 23,500.
The Bank Nifty needs to defend 53,500 for a move toward 54,700 (50% Fibonacci level), but a decisive fall below it could open the door for 53,000.
The market may continue to consolidate with a negative bias amid the West Asia tensions. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
According to experts, if the Nifty fails to take support at the psychological level of 23,000, a fall toward 22,700 cannot be ruled out in the upcoming sessions. However, 23,300–23,500 can act as immediate resistance.
Given the current chart structure and weak momentum setup, any near term rebound, if it occurs, is likely to attract fresh selling interest, especially near resistance zones, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
Markets don't move in straight lines. They bounce on the way down and pull back on the way up. That's exactly what catches traders out, confusing a retracement for a reversal.
The fear gauge India VIX remained at elevated levels, rising 13.9 percent during the week to 22.64 (the highest closing level since May 2024), in addition to a 45 percent surge in the previous week, signalling ballooning risk for bulls.
Bearish momentum indicators, along with the continuation of the lower high–lower low structure and the VIX sustaining above 21, signal further weakness. Experts expect the benchmark Nifty 50 to breach the 23,500 support and slide toward 23,000 in the upcoming sessions.
The market is expected to continue to face risk-off sentiment amid geopolitical tensions. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Bears seem to be keeping tight control over the market in the upcoming sessions, possibly pushing the Nifty 50 below the immediate support of 23,500 and signalling a major risk for the 23,200–23,000 zone. Notably, 23,000 has the maximum Put open interest.
The weekly options data suggested that 23,500 is expected to be immediate support for the Nifty 50, as below it 23,000 is likely to be a major support, both of which have maximum Put open interest. However, 23,700 and 24,000 are expected to be hurdles.
If the Nifty 50 decisively breaks 23,700, Monday's low, a fall toward 23,500–23,400 can't be ruled out. However, a convincing move above 24,300 can drive the index toward 24,500–24,700.
The market may remain range-bound with a negative bias until it closes above Monday's bearish gap. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Momentum indicators maintained sell signals, while the narrowing gap between the 50- and 200-day EMAs increased the possibility of a move toward a death cross, signalling bears having the upper hand.
The weekly options data indicated that 23,500, which has the maximum Put open interest, is expected to act as support for the Nifty 50, while resistance is placed in the 24,000–24,300 range, which holds the maximum Call open interest.
According to experts, a follow-up rally is needed in the upcoming sessions toward the immediate hurdle of 24,400–24,500, followed by the 24,850–25,000 zone. Until then, consolidation with range-bound trading may be seen, with immediate support at 24,000, followed by 23,700,
The market is expected to see consolidation with range-bound trading in the next few sessions. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Strong follow-up buying interest is required for a further Nifty uptrend. If that comes true in the next few sessions, the 24,300–24,500 zone is expected to act as an immediate crucial resistance for the Nifty, followed by 24,700. On the downside, the immediate key support is placed at 24,000, according to experts.
The weekly options data suggests that 24,000 is expected to act as support for the Nifty 50, with resistance at the 24,300–24,500 zone in the short term.
Momentum indicators have entered the oversold zone and a bullish divergence has been seen on the hourly charts.
The market is expected to rebound after the severe correction, but the sustainability of the uptrend will be the key factor to watch. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
The overall structure looks weak as the bearish chart pattern of lower highs and lower lows remains intact, while the VIX soared to a 21-month high. Momentum indicators being in the oversold zone signal the possibility of some bounce, but the sustainability of the upside bounce is the key to watch.