If the Nifty 50 reclaims and sustains above the 23,600–23,700 levels, a rally toward the 23,800–24,000 zone may be seen. Until then, consolidation cannot be ruled out, with support at 23,350.
The market is expected to consolidate with range-bound trading after the two-day rally. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
According to experts, the Nifty 50 needs to close and sustain above the 23,600–23,700 levels in the next few sessions for a move toward the 23,800–24,000 zone. Until then, consolidation may continue, with immediate support at 23,350, followed by 23,000 as a crucial support level.
Weekly options data continues to suggest that resistance for the Nifty 50 is placed at 24,000, with support at 23,000. A decisive move is likely only after a breakout on either side of this range.
In case of a further uptrend, the Nifty 50 may face resistance at the 23,500–23,700 zone, followed by 24,000, but the move may look unsustainable due to a sell-on-rally approach. Meanwhile, support is placed at the 23,000–22,950 zone.
The market needs follow-up buying interest and a sustainable close above the previous week's high for stability. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Sustainability of uptrend will be the key going forward. Overall, the structure is still in favour of bears, and the focus remains on oil prices, with traders monitoring developments related to the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.
Analysts say the overall sentiment remained cautious amid continuing geopolitical tensions in West Asia and elevated crude oil prices.
Weekly options data suggested that the Nifty 50 is expected to trade in the 23,000–24,000 range in the short term, as a decisive close on either side could provide a firm direction to the index, with immediate resistance at 23,500.
The Bank Nifty needs to defend 53,500 for a move toward 54,700 (50% Fibonacci level), but a decisive fall below it could open the door for 53,000.
The market may continue to consolidate with a negative bias amid the West Asia tensions. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
According to experts, if the Nifty fails to take support at the psychological level of 23,000, a fall toward 22,700 cannot be ruled out in the upcoming sessions. However, 23,300–23,500 can act as immediate resistance.
Given the current chart structure and weak momentum setup, any near term rebound, if it occurs, is likely to attract fresh selling interest, especially near resistance zones, said Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities.
Markets don't move in straight lines. They bounce on the way down and pull back on the way up. That's exactly what catches traders out, confusing a retracement for a reversal.
For the week, the Nifty dropped 5.3%, its biggest decline since June 2022, while the Sensex fell 5.5%, marking its worst weekly fall since May 2020.
The fear gauge India VIX remained at elevated levels, rising 13.9 percent during the week to 22.64 (the highest closing level since May 2024), in addition to a 45 percent surge in the previous week, signalling ballooning risk for bulls.
Bearish momentum indicators, along with the continuation of the lower high–lower low structure and the VIX sustaining above 21, signal further weakness. Experts expect the benchmark Nifty 50 to breach the 23,500 support and slide toward 23,000 in the upcoming sessions.
The market is expected to continue to face risk-off sentiment amid geopolitical tensions. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Stocks to Watch, 13 March: Stocks like Shaily Engineering Plastics, JK Lakshmi Cement, Max Financial Services, Manorama Industries, Nectar Lifesciences, Balaji Amines, and KPI Green Energy will be in focus on March 13.
Bears seem to be keeping tight control over the market in the upcoming sessions, possibly pushing the Nifty 50 below the immediate support of 23,500 and signalling a major risk for the 23,200–23,000 zone. Notably, 23,000 has the maximum Put open interest.
Nifty has closed in the red in 6 out of eight trading sessions, declining more than 8 percent, so far in March.
The weekly options data suggested that 23,500 is expected to be immediate support for the Nifty 50, as below it 23,000 is likely to be a major support, both of which have maximum Put open interest. However, 23,700 and 24,000 are expected to be hurdles.
If the Nifty 50 decisively breaks 23,700, Monday's low, a fall toward 23,500–23,400 can't be ruled out. However, a convincing move above 24,300 can drive the index toward 24,500–24,700.
The market may remain range-bound with a negative bias until it closes above Monday's bearish gap. Below are some short-term trading ideas to consider.
Momentum indicators maintained sell signals, while the narrowing gap between the 50- and 200-day EMAs increased the possibility of a move toward a death cross, signalling bears having the upper hand.