Markets ended almost on a flat note amid volatility, in continuation to the prevailing consolidation phase. The benchmark initially opened on a firm note and inched higher in the first half however underperformance of the banking majors combined with profit taking in select index majors dragged the indices lower in the latter half. Consequently, the Nifty index ended lower by 0.2% at 15,722 levels. Amongst the sectors, banking, oil gas and realty were the top losers whereas IT and consumer durables ended with gains.
Global cues and updates on the new variant of Coronavirus would continue to dictate the trend in near future. On the domestic front, participants will also be closely eyeing the auto sales and PMI data for cues. Meanwhile, we reiterate our advice to restrict naked leveraged positions and wait for clarity.
Nifty continues to remain in medium term uptrend with buying advisable on aggressive dips; expect volatility before momentum support gets triggered. In the near term expect range bounce movement as short term indicators are stretched. IT, Metals and Pharma are expected to do well while BFCI and Midcap stocks can be bought on corrections.
The rupee is on an edge, for which the greater sensitivity probably lies towards stronger US data and a stronger dollar. Overall, fx market is focusing on a potentially hot US labour report or the degree to which new covid variant reduces recovery expectations. So until the USDINR spot trades above 73.75-73.80, it will remain afloat with immediate resistance around 74.50 and then 74.75 zone. While the major supports lie around 73.75-73.50-73.45.
We were unable to get past the range today, 15900 continues to be a major road block for the Nifty. If we can cross that, we will head to 16100. Until then we will vacillate between 15400 and 15900 on the back of lackluster volumes. 15400 is a good support for the markets and until we do not disrespect that on a closing basis, the macro trend continues to remain bullish.
Euro zone inflation eased this month, levelling off for the summer months before an expected move well above the European Central Bank's target towards the autumn on higher commodity prices.
Inflation in the 19 countries sharing the euro slipped to 1.9% in June from 2.0% in May, in line with forecasts in a Reuters poll and right on the ECB's target of "below but close to 2%".
Welcome to the largest asset bubble of all time:— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) June 29, 2021
US market cap vs GDP now 205%.
Even if you exclude the Fed's balance sheet as a driving factor this market is coming in at a blistering 150% market cap to GDP.
History of sustainability: Zero. pic.twitter.com/3ye3DFcfAG
Indian rupee ended lower by 9 paise at 74.32 per dollar, amid volatility saw in the domestic equity market.It opened flat at 74.22 per dollar against previous close of 74.23 and traded in the range of 74.22-74.44.
Fitch Ratings expects the rating headroom for Oil India (BBB-/Negative) to reduce in the medium term as leverage will rise, when it accelerates capex to expand capacity at Numaligarh Refinery Limited (NRL).
: Benchmark indices erased all the intraday gains and ended lower in the highly volatile session on June 30.
At close, the Sensex was down 66.95 points or 0.13% at 52482.71, and the Nifty was down 27 points or 0.17% at 15721.50. About 1503 shares have advanced, 1455 shares declined, and 97 shares are unchanged.
Among sectors, except IT, all other indices ended in the red with Nifty Bank index falling 0.7 percent. BSE Midcap ended flat, while Smallcap index gained 0.5 percent.
Shree Cements, Bajaj Finserv, Power Grid Corp, ICICI Bank and UPL were among top losers on the Nifty. Top gainers were Coal India, Divis Labs, Reliance Industries, Infosys and SBI Life Insurance.