BUSINESS
A warning about high asset prices from the IMF
IMF: A number of triggers could result in a repricing of risk assets, a development that could add financial stress on top of an already unprecedented economic recession
BUSINESS
The link between low growth, high stock prices, increasing debt and trade wars
Economists have said the ‘savings glut of the rich’ lowers aggregate demand and limits the size of the market
BUSINESS
Flash PMIs show major developed economies continued to shrink in June
Output and demand are still falling, but no longer collapsing
BUSINESS
A full economic recovery will have to wait for a vaccine
A recent research paper finds ‘the primary barrier to economic activity is depressed consumer spending due to the threat of COVID-19 itself as opposed to government restrictions on economic activity, inadequate income among consumers, or a lack of liquidity for firms’.
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Fight fight, talk talk
The idea is to buy time, deter aggressive action by the enemy, influence third parties, throw his opponents off-guard and, when the time is ripe, to strike hard militarily.
WORLD
An aggressive China believes its time has come
The central geopolitical rivalry of our time is between a rising China and a US past its prime; India is firmly in the US camp
BUSINESS
Global economic growth in recent decades has relied on a rising tide of debt
BUSINESS
The sharp fall in unemployment raises hopes of a quick recovery
BUSINESS
What lies beneath the wholesale price deflation in May 2020
Worries about deflation for the manufacturing sector may be misplaced
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | In Fed we trust
The Fed dot plot showed that policy rates would remain where they are through 2022. And then, of course, there is always the promise of more stimulus to come.
BUSINESS
The message for the markets from the US Fed
The markets were looking for confirmation whether their belief in a V-shaped recovery for the US economy would be echoed by the Fed. Powell's Freudian slip says it all.
BUSINESS
Are forecasters predicting a V-shaped rebound for the Indian economy?
Standard & Poor’s sees consumption driving the recovery
BUSINESS
World Bank: Worst recession since Second World War
Although a moderate recovery is forecast for 2021, output is not expected to return to its previously expected levels
BUSINESS
Unemployment fell in July 2018-June 2019, but not for all social groups
BUSINESS
We have been on the road to ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ for many years now
Merchandise imports and exports as a proportion of GDP have been falling for years.
BUSINESS
Average all-India salaries were lower in April-June 2019 from a year ago
As many as 69.5 percent of salaried workers in non-agricultural enterprises have no written contracts; 53.8 percent have no paid leave
BUSINESS
Who is right about demand coming back -- Chetan Ghate or Janak Raj?
The debate is about which will come back faster—demand or supply
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Too much is not enough
The extraordinary global market rally keeps going, despite complete pandemonium in almost all economies
BUSINESS
RBI survey shows collapse in consumer confidence
Almost half of those surveyed said they expect job prospects to worsen in the year ahead
BUSINESS
Moody's India downgrade was expected. It should have little impact
The credit rating agency has made a reference to weaker institutions and governance. The government should take note.
BUSINESS
Agriculture and government spending have propped up growth in the last two quarters
Growth in the non-farm private sector was 2 percent even in the December 2019 quarter.
BUSINESS
The economy was sick long before COVID-19 struck; the lockdown sent it to the ICU
The coronavirus crisis will worsen India’s Four Balance Sheet problem.
BUSINESS
Moneycontrol Pro Weekender | Mr Market puts on his rose-tinted glasses
Nobody seems to be buying the International Monetary Fund’s prediction that the pandemic will lead to lower fund inflows into emerging markets
MARKETS
The IMF on what pushes portfolio flows to emerging markets
Covid 19 will mean lower inflows into emerging markets bonds and equities
