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Amol Agrawal

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CBDC | The economic Nobel Prize could not have come at a better time for banking

BUSINESS

CBDC | The economic Nobel Prize could not have come at a better time for banking

The intersection of ideas between the Nobel Prize and the RBI concept note cannot just help understand today’s banking challenges, but also be in reckoning for future Nobel prizes as well

MC Explains | Why Ben Bernanke's economics Nobel for bank crisis work is creating a storm

INDIA

MC Explains | Why Ben Bernanke's economics Nobel for bank crisis work is creating a storm

Although the Nobel committee says the research reveals how regulating banks and propping up failing lenders with taxpayer money can avert a financial and banking crisis, critics point out one of winners Ben Bernanke was a major contributor himself to the 2008 global financial crisis as the US Federal Reserve chief.

MC Explains| Should RBI establish a forex swap line with Federal Reserve?

BUSINESS

MC Explains| Should RBI establish a forex swap line with Federal Reserve?

The rupee has been under depreciating pressure against the dollar for nearly 6 months now, contributing to the depletion of India’s foreign currency reserves. One way out could be a temporary swap line with the Federal Reserve.

UK crisis: Drawing parallels with the pound's collapse 30 years ago when George Soros made a killing

WORLD

UK crisis: Drawing parallels with the pound's collapse 30 years ago when George Soros made a killing

The current exchange rate crisis has put the UK and Europe in the spotlight, as it did in 1992 when investors and speculators had run on the British unit, costing 3.5 billion pounds. But this time, the government is not intervening to stem the currency's fall. 

MC Explains: What the RBI can do to rein in rupee’s depreciation

BUSINESS

MC Explains: What the RBI can do to rein in rupee’s depreciation

If the RBI wants to counter rupee depreciation, it should continue to improve macroeconomic fundamentals and take measures to increase capital flows into the country

Banking | History can help while banning digital lending apps

BUSINESS

Banking | History can help while banning digital lending apps

Just like it happened in the past, we are back to times when we are seeing the mushrooming of entities and apps offering lending (and forex facilities)

Digital Lending | RBI must crystallise its guidelines towards a digital banking regulation Act

BUSINESS

Digital Lending | RBI must crystallise its guidelines towards a digital banking regulation Act

The new Act should bring all the entities on a common platform, and analyse how the different entities engage in digital banking and digital banking products

Jackson Hole | US Fed reiterates its focus on price stability

BUSINESS

Jackson Hole | US Fed reiterates its focus on price stability

Jerome Powell’s comment on the three policy lessons from the past means that the US Fed will have to continue to keep interest rates high to fight inflation

Privatisation of India’s public sector banks is like Waiting for Godot

BUSINESS

Privatisation of India’s public sector banks is like Waiting for Godot

The government needs to decide and act on PSB privatisation, which has been pending for a while now. If it does not want to privatise, it should make its stand clear

MC Explains | Why China is facing an economic crisis and how India can gain 

BUSINESS

MC Explains | Why China is facing an economic crisis and how India can gain 

There are fears of a meltdown of the Chinese economy and its banking system as the stringent Covid-19 lockdowns in key manufacturing hubs have led to a slowdown of the economy. The Chinese crisis provides an opportunity for India to project itself as a global manufacturing hub.

The US Inflation Reduction Act: more politics than economics

BUSINESS

The US Inflation Reduction Act: more politics than economics

The country has a history of such initiatives going awry. They have not worked in the past, and inflation has continued unabated

Green is the new colour of Indian Banking 

BUSINESS

Green is the new colour of Indian Banking 

While Indian banks are aware of the risks they face because of climate change, they are not prepared for the same

USD vs INR | India’s macroeconomic fundamentals are strong

INDIA

USD vs INR | India’s macroeconomic fundamentals are strong

An appreciating US Dollar has given most global currencies a beating. The Indian Rupee is still standing

MC Explains | Has the relationship between inflation differentials and exchange rate movement broken down?

BUSINESS

MC Explains | Has the relationship between inflation differentials and exchange rate movement broken down?

We are at a rare moment in economic history when the inflation rate in developed economies is higher than the inflation in developing economies such as India. Yet, the rupee continues to depreciate against the US dollar. Moneycontrol explains the trend

Explainer: Should RBI opt for a multi-tier excess reserve system?

BUSINESS

Explainer: Should RBI opt for a multi-tier excess reserve system?

This explainer will help you understand the surplus liquidity situation in the markets and whether a multi-tier excess reserve system can help address the problem.

MC Explains | India does not face an external debt crisis

BUSINESS

MC Explains | India does not face an external debt crisis

India’s Debt Service Ratio, a measure of a country’s ability to service debt given current receipts, has declined from around 40% in the 1990s to around 5% today. 

RBI takes a major step towards internationalising rupee

BUSINESS

RBI takes a major step towards internationalising rupee

The policy does not imply that we will see an immediate transition from USD to INR-based invoicing. It will at best be a gradual process. Policymakers can start by encouraging INR payments with neighbouring South Asian countries and other trade partners 

MC Explains | Will steps to liberalise forex inflows help the rupee?

BUSINESS

MC Explains | Will steps to liberalise forex inflows help the rupee?

The outflow of funds leads to higher demand for the dollar and thereby, local currency depreciation. While a depreciating currency helps a country’s exports, it makes imports more expensive and feeds inflation

How real is the risk of stagflation in India?

BUSINESS

How real is the risk of stagflation in India?

Even if we escape stagflation this time around, there is still a risk of facing high inflation and subdued growth as has been the case for most part of India’s macroeconomic history 

Banking | Creative destruction of existing models will pose new challenges for regulators

BUSINESS

Banking | Creative destruction of existing models will pose new challenges for regulators

The core function of banking will remain, but the way we understand a bank in terms of branches and bank officers, is going to change forever 

Explained | Why Japan’s inflation problems are of a different kind

BUSINESS

Explained | Why Japan’s inflation problems are of a different kind

Japan's inflation has remained low as economic activity has remained persistently  weak.

Payments | UPI takes the credit

BUSINESS

Payments | UPI takes the credit

UPI is increasingly becoming a super payment interface, shaking the payment ecosystem which was controlled by private banks and the payment duopolies

Explainer | Sri Lanka and Pakistan crisis: What can India do?

WORLD

Explainer | Sri Lanka and Pakistan crisis: What can India do?

Much of the South Asian region is facing a crisis, making India’s role in the region even more prominent

Entry barriers for banking licence in India are high… very high

BUSINESS

Entry barriers for banking licence in India are high… very high

It is also not clear what it takes to get a bank licence in India. In the recent list of rejections, not much is said about why the applications are rejected 

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