Hold HEG; target of Rs 900: ICICI Direct
ICICI Direct recommended hold rating on HEG with a target price of Rs 900 in its research report dated June 23, 2020.
June 24, 2020 / 02:29 PM IST
ICICI Direct's research report on HEG
HEG reported a disappointing set of Q4FY20 numbers wherein it reported a loss at the EBITDA and PAT level. During the quarter, the performance was impacted by inventory write down taken by the company. Topline came in at Rs 374.4 crore (down 72% YoY, 5% QoQ). Reported EBITDA loss was at Rs 497.4 crore (positive EBITDA of Rs 4.7 crore in Q3FY20 and Rs 788 crore in Q4FY19) while net loss was at Rs 366 crore (net profit of Rs 5.9 crore in Q3FY20, Rs 524.4 crore in Q4FY19). During the quarter, HEG had recognised its carrying inventory on net realisable value (NRV) basis to the extent applicable and has accordingly written down the cost of inventory by Rs 427 crore [included in cost of raw material consumption (RM) Rs 321 crore and in changes in inventories of finished goods and work-in-progress (FG & WIP) Rs 106 crore]. This resulted in negative EBITDA and net loss for the quarter.
HEG reported a muted performance in Q4FY20 on the back of weak demand from the steel sector. Furthermore, it reported a loss at the EBITDA as well as PAT level on account of inventory write downs. Going forward, over the near term, demand for graphite electrodes is expected to remain subdued due to partial closure of steel capacities globally, lower steel production and de-stocking of electrode inventory at the customer end at a slower pace than anticipated, thereby adversely impacting demand prospects. We value the stock at 6x FY22E EPS and arrive at a target price of Rs 900. We have a HOLD recommendation on the stock.
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