Motilal Oswal's research report on Kotak Mahindra Bank
Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) continues to align its balance sheet expansion with a disciplined growth framework of ~1.5-2.0x nominal GDP while steadily improving business granularity through retail and SME-led growth. NIMs are expected to remain range-bound in the near term, with 3QFY26 margins likely to be flat, largely due to temporary interbank yield distortions and short-term liquidity deployment at lower yields. The impact of the recent 25bp rate cut is expected to flow through primarily in 4QFY26. A repricing and the migration toward ActivMoney sweep deposits are expected to gradually ease funding costs, although benefits from term-deposit repricing will accrue with a lag. Despite near-term noise, absolute NII continues to grow, reinforcing confidence in earnings stability.
Outlook
We estimate KMB to deliver robust return ratios, with RoA/RoE at 2%/12.7% by FY27E. Retain BUY with a TP of INR2,500 (2.5x FY27E ABV+ INR775 for subs).
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