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How panic pauses in SIPs can cost investors Rs 4-5 lakh over a decade

Market timing hurts SIP investors more than fund choice, with emotional pauses quietly eroding long-term compounding gains.

February 13, 2026 / 14:58 IST
Snapshot AI
  • Pausing SIPs during volatility can reduce long-term returns
  • Investor behavior impacts returns more than fund selection
  • Consistent SIPs help build more wealth than timing the market

Recent market volatility has once again tested investor nerves. In January, the Nifty 50 closed at 25,320.65, down about 3.1 percent for the month. The Nifty Midcap 150 fell 3.53 percent, while the Nifty Smallcap 250 dropped a sharper 5.52 percent. February has offered little comfort so far. As of February 13, the Nifty 50 was hovering around 25,503.20, signalling that choppy sentiment is continuing.

A key source of this volatility has been pressure in IT stocks. After falling about 7 percent in the previous week, IT shares slipped another 6 percent this week, dragging the Nifty IT index to a 10-month low on February 12. Such sharp sector-led swings tend to amplify investor anxiety, especially for those tracking short-term portfolio movements.

Moves like these often trigger a familiar wave of doubt. Is my fund still good? Should I switch? Should I pause my SIP for now?

But the real damage to long-term returns usually comes from a different decision altogether. It is rarely about picking the wrong fund. More often, it is about stopping or pausing SIPs at the wrong time.

Industry experts say that over the long term, investor behaviour tends to matter more than fund selection itself. Choosing a quality fund is important, but staying invested through volatility is what ultimately allows compounding to do its job.

What drives the return gap?

Vijay Maheshwari, CWM and Founder, Stocktick Capital, says several studies and real-life data show a consistent pattern. While equity mutual funds may deliver healthy long-term returns, the average investor often earns far less. The gap isn’t because funds underperform, but because investors tend to enter and exit at the wrong time.

Maheshwari explains, “During periods of market stress, such as the 2008 global financial crisis, the Eurozone debt crisis, or phases of domestic policy uncertainty, many investors either stopped their SIPs or redeemed investments altogether.”

He further adds, “Investors often react emotionally to volatility. They stop SIPs when markets fall and return only after recovery. This timing mistake quietly erodes wealth.”

A long-term market illustration by Stocktick Capital highlights this behaviour gap. Over a 20-year period from 2005 to 2025, the Nifty 500 delivered a CAGR of about 15.6 percent. A Rs 1,00,000 lump sum invested in the index could have grown to roughly Rs 18.16 lakh. However, an investor earning closer to 11 percent due to poor timing decisions would see the same investment grow to only about Rs 8.06 lakh. That nearly Rs 10 lakh difference isn’t about market performance, it reflects the cost of exiting during downturns and re-entering later at higher levels.

Disciplined vs emotional investor: the cost of panic

To understand this better, consider a simple case study. Two investors begin SIPs at the same time and invest in equities for 10 years. The only difference is how they respond when markets turn volatile.

The study assumes an average long-term equity return of about 12 percent per year, with the final corpus shown as a range to reflect market movements. Both investors put in Rs 10,000 a month. The disciplined investor stays invested even during market dips, committing the full Rs 12 lakh over the period. By continuing to buy when prices are lower, more units are accumulated, helping build a corpus of roughly Rs 22-24 lakh.

The emotional investor, however, pauses SIPs for two years during volatility, investing only Rs 9.6 lakh. Missing those periods of lower prices means fewer units are purchased. Over time, that gap compounds and results in a final corpus of about Rs 18-19 lakh, an opportunity loss of roughly Rs 4-4.5 lakh. In simple terms, by skipping about Rs 2 lakh of investments during market declines, the investor gives up the chance to build an additional Rs 4-4.5 lakh over time.

What Happens When You Stop Your SIP During Market Volatility

As Maheshwari explains, the difference is not market performance but investor behaviour. Staying invested during uncertain phases allows compounding to work fully, while interruptions can quietly reduce long-term wealth.

Why stopping SIPs during volatility hurts

SIPs are designed to work best when markets are volatile. When prices fall, the same SIP amount buys more units. Over time, this lowers the average cost and boosts long-term returns.

“Market corrections are actually opportunities for SIP investors. Stopping SIPs during these phases means missing out on buying more units at lower prices,” says Maheshwari.

So what happens when SIPs are paused? Two things follow:

  • You miss low-cost accumulation during market declines
  • The power of compounding gets interrupted

Even a temporary pause can have a lasting impact on the final corpus.

Discipline creates wealth, not timing

The takeaway is straightforward. Markets move in cycles, and volatility is unavoidable. What investors can control is their behaviour.

“Markets reward patience. Consistency, not timing, is what turns SIPs into an effective long-term wealth-building tool,” adds Maheshwari.

For long-term investors, the message is clear: staying invested through uncertainty often matters far more than trying to time the market.

Priyadarshini Maji
first published: Feb 13, 2026 02:13 pm

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