Benchmark indices Nifty and Sensex are set for a cautious start to the week on July 7, as investors weigh the prospects of an India-US trade deal and monitor simmering geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. As of 7:40 pm, Gift Nifty was up just 0.03 percent at 25,534, hinting at a flat open.
Nifty 50 and Sensex ended nearly flat for the sixth straight session on Friday, July 4, as markets remained stuck in a narrow range. Sentiment stayed cautious ahead of the July 9 deadline in the India-US trade standoff, with the risk of 26 percent reciprocal tariffs weighing on traders' minds.
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Both Foreign institutional investors (FII/FPI) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) were net sellers on July 4, with FIIs selling shares worth Rs 760 crore while domestic institutional investors (DII) offloaded shares worth Rs 1,028 crore.
Here are the key levels to watch out for in today's session
The Nifty index saw a recovery in the latter half of Friday’s session, rebounding from around the 25,330 mark to close in the green near 25,450. The improving bias suggests potential for further upside in the coming sessions. Key support remains in the 25,250–25,300 zone, while a sustained move higher could open the door to targets of 25,700 and 26,200.
"Bank Nifty also staged a strong intraday rebound from around 56,600 to end near 57,000, with sentiment turning more positive. The trend remains bullish, and as long as the 56,000 support holds, a breakout above 57,600 could pave the way for fresh upside towards 58,500 and 60,000. For the day, Nifty has support at 25,300 and resistance at 25,600, while Bank Nifty is expected to trade in a range of 56,500–57,600," Vaishali Parekh of Prabhudas Lilladher said.
The India VIX, which measures expected market volatility, declined for the fourth consecutive session and hit a fresh nine-month low, consistently favouring the bulls. It was down 0.57 percent, closing at 12.32 — the lowest level since October 1, 2024.
The Nifty Put-Call ratio (PCR), which indicates the mood of the market, dropped to 0.93 on July 4, compared to 0.99 in the previous session. The increasing PCR, or being higher than 0.7 or surpassing 1, means traders are selling more Put options than Call options, which generally indicates the firming up of a bullish sentiment in the market.
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