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Amol Agrawal

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2021-30: Lost decade for the world economy?

BUSINESS

2021-30: Lost decade for the world economy?

We are seeing almost halving of the growth rates from 6 percent levels in 2000-09 to 3.2 percent levels in 2020-24. The share of countries with slower growth than in the previous decade has increased to 73 percent in 2010-21 from 44 percent in 2000-10

From Mastercard to World Bank, Ajay Banga faces a similar set of challenges

BUSINESS

From Mastercard to World Bank, Ajay Banga faces a similar set of challenges

Ajay Banga has been nominated to preside over the World Bank in trying times. Can he tilt the governance of the Bretton Woods institutions towards emerging and developing economies?

IFSCA has its work cut out. Will it be an effective regulator?

BUSINESS

IFSCA has its work cut out. Will it be an effective regulator?

The task of the International Financial Services Centre Authority is tougher, as it is a unified authority which is supposed to look at all markets whereas the other regulators were established to govern a specific segment of India’s financial markets 

Budget 2023-24: Government continues to heavily promote GIFT City and the returns are showing

BUSINESS

Budget 2023-24: Government continues to heavily promote GIFT City and the returns are showing

Since 2018, GIFT City has featured prominently in every budget speech and received lavish investments. Broad trends suggest the government’s bets are beginning to pay off

Past Economic Surveys put it best: Private investment is India’s best growth mantra

BUSINESS

Past Economic Surveys put it best: Private investment is India’s best growth mantra

Despite the challenging global economy and next year’s general elections, Economic Survey must prod government to open up further

Recession worries seem to have replaced inflation concerns

BUSINESS

Recession worries seem to have replaced inflation concerns

A global slowdown will impact the Indian economy. But that impact will be limited compared to other countries as the Indian economy is driven by local consumption

2023 unlikely to be just a boring year for central banks

BUSINESS

2023 unlikely to be just a boring year for central banks

Central banks will have to deal with multiple challenges in the new year and stay focussed on achieving their objectives

States’ financial position needs to be watched as much as the Centre’s

BUSINESS

States’ financial position needs to be watched as much as the Centre’s

While the aggregate financial position of states looks manageable, the finances of many individual states look weak 

Government, RBI caution on cryptocurrencies has served India well

BUSINESS

Government, RBI caution on cryptocurrencies has served India well

While the exact number of cryptocurrency investors and the scale of investments in India is not clear, in all likelihood the Indian investor community has not faced the brunt of crypto meltdown as have the investors in other countries

Six years after demonetisation: Strengthen RBI governance

BUSINESS

Six years after demonetisation: Strengthen RBI governance

One of the top priorities of the government should be to ensure that the RBI’s central board functions at full strength, especially now, when central banks the world over face multiple challenges

CBDC | The economic Nobel Prize could not have come at a better time for banking

BUSINESS

CBDC | The economic Nobel Prize could not have come at a better time for banking

The intersection of ideas between the Nobel Prize and the RBI concept note cannot just help understand today’s banking challenges, but also be in reckoning for future Nobel prizes as well

Banking | History can help while banning digital lending apps

BUSINESS

Banking | History can help while banning digital lending apps

Just like it happened in the past, we are back to times when we are seeing the mushrooming of entities and apps offering lending (and forex facilities)

Digital Lending | RBI must crystallise its guidelines towards a digital banking regulation Act

BUSINESS

Digital Lending | RBI must crystallise its guidelines towards a digital banking regulation Act

The new Act should bring all the entities on a common platform, and analyse how the different entities engage in digital banking and digital banking products

Jackson Hole | US Fed reiterates its focus on price stability

BUSINESS

Jackson Hole | US Fed reiterates its focus on price stability

Jerome Powell’s comment on the three policy lessons from the past means that the US Fed will have to continue to keep interest rates high to fight inflation

Privatisation of India’s public sector banks is like Waiting for Godot

BUSINESS

Privatisation of India’s public sector banks is like Waiting for Godot

The government needs to decide and act on PSB privatisation, which has been pending for a while now. If it does not want to privatise, it should make its stand clear

The US Inflation Reduction Act: more politics than economics

BUSINESS

The US Inflation Reduction Act: more politics than economics

The country has a history of such initiatives going awry. They have not worked in the past, and inflation has continued unabated

Green is the new colour of Indian Banking 

BUSINESS

Green is the new colour of Indian Banking 

While Indian banks are aware of the risks they face because of climate change, they are not prepared for the same

USD vs INR | India’s macroeconomic fundamentals are strong

INDIA

USD vs INR | India’s macroeconomic fundamentals are strong

An appreciating US Dollar has given most global currencies a beating. The Indian Rupee is still standing

RBI takes a major step towards internationalising rupee

BUSINESS

RBI takes a major step towards internationalising rupee

The policy does not imply that we will see an immediate transition from USD to INR-based invoicing. It will at best be a gradual process. Policymakers can start by encouraging INR payments with neighbouring South Asian countries and other trade partners 

How real is the risk of stagflation in India?

BUSINESS

How real is the risk of stagflation in India?

Even if we escape stagflation this time around, there is still a risk of facing high inflation and subdued growth as has been the case for most part of India’s macroeconomic history 

Banking | Creative destruction of existing models will pose new challenges for regulators

BUSINESS

Banking | Creative destruction of existing models will pose new challenges for regulators

The core function of banking will remain, but the way we understand a bank in terms of branches and bank officers, is going to change forever 

Payments | UPI takes the credit

BUSINESS

Payments | UPI takes the credit

UPI is increasingly becoming a super payment interface, shaking the payment ecosystem which was controlled by private banks and the payment duopolies

Entry barriers for banking licence in India are high… very high

BUSINESS

Entry barriers for banking licence in India are high… very high

It is also not clear what it takes to get a bank licence in India. In the recent list of rejections, not much is said about why the applications are rejected 

NSDL | Ushering India’s stock market through the digital era for 25 years

BUSINESS

NSDL | Ushering India’s stock market through the digital era for 25 years

This year, the NSDL launched a blockchain-based market platform to manage and monitor the security and covenants related to issuance of bonds. This will further uphold transparency and strengthen the confidence in the stock market 

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